WON Tip WON Netherlands 2-1 Norway
N

Netherlands

Home
W D W W W
6W 2D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
2-1
N
Norway
Away
W W D W W
9W 1D 0L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 27th March 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +5.7% Value detected
Kelly % 34% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals67% Over 1.5 Goals89% Netherlands Clean Sheet63%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Netherlands vs Norway Competition: International Friendly Date: Friday, 27th March 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 89% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (67%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (89%) Also: Netherlands Clean Sheet (63%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Netherlands
3
Draws
1
Norway
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Netherlands
Metric
Norway
3.4
Goals For / Game
3.8
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0.7
63%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-2-0
W — D — L
9-1-0
Win Rate
75%
90%
4.2
Avg Goals
89%
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
N0
0-0 1.5%
0-1 3.2%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 1.3%
0-5 0.6%
N1
1-0 3.1%
1-1 6.6%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 5.1%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.2%
N2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 5.2%
2-4 2.8%
2-5 1.2%
N3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 5.0%
3-3 3.6%
3-4 1.9%
3-5 0.8%
N4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 1.8%
4-4 1.0%
4-5 0.4%
N5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.8%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-2(7.3%) 1-2(7.1%) 2-1(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Netherlands
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.3
Norway
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 34%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.11.21
WCQ: Netherlands2
Norway0
01.09.21
WCQ: Norway1
Netherlands1
10.06.09
WCQ: Netherlands2
Norway0
15.10.08
WCQ: Norway0
Netherlands1
21.08.02
FI: Norway0
Netherlands1
15.11.95
EUR: Netherlands3
Norway0
12.10.94
EUR: Norway1
Netherlands1
08.06.93
WCQ: Netherlands0
Norway0
22.09.92
WCQ: Norway2
Netherlands1
12.09.73
WCQ: Norway1
Netherlands2
Recent Form
Netherlands
17.11.25
WCQ: Netherlands4
Lithuania0
W
14.11.25
WCQ: Poland1
Netherlands1
D
12.10.25
WCQ: Netherlands4
Finland0
W
09.10.25
WCQ: Malta0
Netherlands4
W
07.09.25
WCQ: Lithuania2
Netherlands3
W
04.09.25
WCQ: Netherlands1
Poland1
D
10.06.25
WCQ: Netherlands8
Malta0
W
07.06.25
WCQ: Finland0
Netherlands2
W
Norway
20.03.26
FI: Italy1
Norway4
W
16.11.25
WCQ: Italy1
Norway4
W
13.11.25
WCQ: Norway4
Estonia1
W
14.10.25
FI: Norway1
New Zealand1
D
11.10.25
WCQ: Norway5
Israel0
W
09.09.25
WCQ: Norway11
Moldova1
W
04.09.25
FI: Norway1
Finland0
W
09.06.25
WCQ: Estonia0
Norway1
W
06.06.25
WCQ: Norway3
Italy0
W
25.03.25
WCQ: Israel2
Norway4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 27th March 2026, Netherlands host Norway in International Friendly. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Netherlands arrive in strong form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 8 outings.

Norway are travelling well, with a record of 9W 1D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Netherlands, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Norway's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming International Friendly match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 1.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.20. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Netherlands vs Norway?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 89%.
What is Netherlands's current form?
Netherlands have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 8 matches.
How has Norway been performing recently?
Norway have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Netherlands lead with 6 wins versus Norway's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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