WON Tip WON Norway W 5-0 Slovenia W
N

Norway W

Home
L W D W W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
VS
5-0
S
Slovenia W
Away
W L L L D
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 14th April 2026
1
Backing Norway W to win
Norway W 60%
Draw 20%
Slovenia W 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 90.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Norway W to win
1.10
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Norway W vs Slovenia W Competition: Euro Women WCQ Date: Tuesday, 14th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Norway W to win) Odds: 1.10 Confidence: 60% Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Norway W
Metric
Slovenia W
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
60%
40%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
N0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 8.1%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 10.1%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
N2
2-0 7.6%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
N3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.1%) 2-1(9.1%) 2-0(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Norway W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Slovenia W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Norway W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.3
Slovenia W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Norway W
07.03.26
WC Qualifiers: Norway W0
Germany W4
L
03.03.26
WC Qualifiers: Austria W0
Norway W1
W
01.12.25
Friendlies: Denmark W0
Norway W0
D
28.11.25
Friendlies: Norway W3
Brazil W1
W
28.10.25
Friendlies: Norway W2
Japan W0
W
16.07.25
Women’s Euro: Norway W1
Italy W2
L
10.07.25
Women’s Euro: Norway W4
Iceland W3
W
06.07.25
Women’s Euro: Norway W2
Finland W1
W
02.07.25
Women’s Euro: Switzerland W1
Norway W2
W
26.06.25
Friendlies: Norway W0
Sweden W2
L
Slovenia W
07.03.26
WC Qualifiers: Slovenia W1
Austria W0
W
03.03.26
WC Qualifiers: Germany W5
Slovenia W0
L
28.11.25
Friendlies: Poland W1
Slovenia W0
L
27.10.25
Friendlies: Slovenia W2
Serbia W4
L
29.06.25
Friendlies: Australia W1
Slovenia W1
D
26.06.25
Friendlies: Australia W3
Slovenia W0
L
03.06.25
Nations League: Ireland W1
Slovenia W0
L
30.05.25
Nations League: Slovenia W2
Greece W0
W
08.04.25
Nations League: Turkey W0
Slovenia W1
W
04.04.25
Nations League: Slovenia W3
Turkey W0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 14th April 2026, Norway W host Slovenia W in Euro Women WCQ. We recommend Norway W to win as the standout selection.

Norway W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Slovenia W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: norway w to win at odds of 1.10 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Euro Women WCQ match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.10. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Norway W vs Slovenia W?
Our selection is 1 — Norway W to win, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Norway W's current form?
Norway W have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Slovenia W been performing recently?
Slovenia W have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game.
⚠️
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