Moderate Signal 59% Confidence
D

Djoliba

Home
W D W W W
7W 3D 0L → Steady
VS
U
US Bougouni
Away
D L D L W
1W 3D 6L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 28th April 2026
1
Backing Djoliba to win
Djoliba 50%
Draw 30%
US Bougouni 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 87% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -28% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Djoliba to win
1.15
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No75% Djoliba Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Djoliba vs US Bougouni Competition: Mali Premiere Division Date: Tuesday, 28th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Djoliba to win) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 59% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Djoliba Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Djoliba
1
Draws
2
US Bougouni
8
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
38%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Djoliba won 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Djoliba
Metric
US Bougouni
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.2
Goals Against / Game
1.4
80%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
70%
10%
1.9
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
D0
0-0 15.7%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 0.7%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 24.4%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 1.1%
1-3 0.1%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
D2
2-0 18.9%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 0.9%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
D3
3-0 9.8%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(24.4%) 2-0(18.9%) 3-0(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   U=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Djoliba Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
US Bougouni Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Djoliba
Overall
7.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
9.3
US Bougouni
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 48%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.12.25PD
US Bougouni0
Djoliba2
09.03.25PD
US Bougouni1
Djoliba0
30.01.25PD
Djoliba2
US Bougouni0
04.02.24PD
US Bougouni2
Djoliba2
02.11.23PD
Djoliba1
US Bougouni2
27.05.23PD
US Bougouni0
Djoliba2
05.12.22PD
Djoliba2
US Bougouni0
31.05.17PD
Djoliba3
US Bougouni0
Recent Form
Djoliba
15.04.26PD
Djoliba1
Onze Createurs0
W
05.04.26PD
Djoliba0
Stade Malien0
D
29.03.26PD
Djoliba1
Korofina0
W
18.03.26PD
Bougouba1
Djoliba3
W
08.03.26PD
Derby Academie0
Djoliba2
W
04.03.26PD
Real Bamako1
Djoliba1
D
28.02.26PD
Djoliba4
Foot Elite0
W
22.02.26PD
Djoliba0
Diarra0
D
18.02.26PD
Binga0
Djoliba1
W
15.02.26CON
Djoliba4
San Pedro0
W
US Bougouni
15.04.26PD
US Bougouni0
Foot Elite0
D
04.04.26PD
Korofina2
US Bougouni1
L
17.03.26PD
US Bougouni1
Real Bamako1
D
07.03.26PD
Diarra1
US Bougouni0
L
27.02.26PD
Binga0
US Bougouni1
W
07.02.26PD
US Bougouni0
Bakaridjan2
L
31.01.26PD
USFAS Bamako3
US Bougouni0
L
24.01.26PD
US Bougouni0
Mali Coura3
L
21.01.26PD
US Bougouni0
Derby Academie0
D
16.01.26PD
Onze Createurs2
US Bougouni1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 28th April 2026, Djoliba host US Bougouni in Mali Premiere Division. We recommend Djoliba to win as the standout selection.

Djoliba arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

US Bougouni are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Djoliba, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to US Bougouni's 2, with 1 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: djoliba to win at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Mali Premiere Division match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.15. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Djoliba vs US Bougouni?
Our selection is 1 — Djoliba to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Djoliba's current form?
Djoliba have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has US Bougouni been performing recently?
US Bougouni have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Djoliba lead with 5 wins versus US Bougouni's 2, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
⚠️
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