WON
Tip WON
Al Hilal 1-0 Damac
A
Al Hilal
Home
L
W
D
W
W
6W 3D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
1-0
D
Damac
Away
W
D
L
W
W
4W 2D 4L
→ Steady
Al Hilal
50%
Draw
30%
Damac
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
87.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-31.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Hilal to win
1.14
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Hilal vs Damac
Competition: Saudi Professional League
Date: Tuesday, 28th April 2026
Pick: 1 (Al Hilal to win)
Odds: 1.14
Confidence: 56%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Al Hilal
3
Draws
1
Damac
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Al Hilal won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Hilal
Metric
Damac
2.7
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
A0
0-0
3.7%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
3.1%
0-3
1.4%
0-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
A2
2-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
A3
3-0
4.9%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
4.2%
3-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
A4
4-0
2.5%
4-1
3.2%
4-2
2.1%
4-3
0.9%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
A5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
1.3%
5-2
0.8%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.6%)
1-0(7.4%)
2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ D=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Hilal Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Damac Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Home Win & BTTS No
19%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
29%
Home Win & Under 2.5
19%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
19%
Away Win & Under 2.5
13%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Damac0
Al Hilal2
Damac2
Al Hilal2
Al Hilal3
Damac2
Al Hilal2
Damac1
Damac1
Al Hilal1
Damac0
Al Hilal1
Al Hilal2
Damac2
Damac2
Al Hilal4
Al Hilal2
Damac0
Damac1
Al Hilal0
Recent Form
Al Hilal
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd (3 - 3)4
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal (1 - 1)2
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
Al Shabab3
Al Hilal5
Al Taawon1
Al Hilal1
Al Hilal1
Al Ittihad1
Al Hilal2
Al Wahda1
Damac
Damac2
Al Okhdood0
Damac1
Al Qadsiah1
Al Ahli SC3
Damac0
Al Najma1
Damac3
Damac3
Al Riyadh0
Al Fateh1
Damac1
Damac0
Al Ahli SC1
Damac1
Al Shabab3
Damac2
Al Taawon1
Al Ettifaq2
Damac0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 28th April 2026, Al Hilal host Damac in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.
Al Hilal arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Damac are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Al Hilal, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Damac's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Saudi Professional League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.14. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Hilal vs Damac?
Our selection is 1 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Damac been performing recently?
Damac have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Hilal lead with 6 wins versus Damac's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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