WON
Tip WON
Ind Rivadavia 4-1 La Guaira
I
Ind Rivadavia
Home
W
D
W
W
W
7W 2D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
4-1
L
La Guaira
Away
W
D
D
W
D
4W 6D 0L
→ Steady
Ind Rivadavia
50%
Draw
30%
La Guaira
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
71.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-13.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ind Rivadavia to win
1.39
Under 2.5 Goals70%
La Guaira Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ind Rivadavia vs La Guaira
Competition: Copa Libertadores
Date: Thursday, 30th April 2026
Pick: 1 (Ind Rivadavia to win)
Odds: 1.39
Confidence: 58%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: La Guaira Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ind Rivadavia
Metric
La Guaira
2
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.4
40%
Clean Sheets
70%
7-2-1
W — D — L
4-6-0
Win Rate
2
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
I0
0-0
13.5%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
4.3%
0-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
I1
1-0
16.2%
1-1
13.0%
1-2
5.2%
1-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.0%
I2
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
I3
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
I4
4-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
I5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(16.2%)
2-0(9.7%)
2-1(7.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
I=Home goals ↓ L=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ind Rivadavia Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
La Guaira Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
21%
Home Win & BTTS No
26%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
12%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
14%
Home Win & Under 2.5
33%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
19%
Away Win & Over 2.5
8%
Away Win & Under 2.5
18%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Ind Rivadavia
Ind. Rivadavia5
Gimnasia Mendoza1
Banfield0
Ind. Rivadavia0
Fluminense1
Ind. Rivadavia2
Ind. Rivadavia3
Argentinos Jrs1
Ind. Rivadavia1
Bolivar0
Tigre0
Ind. Rivadavia2
Ind. Rivadavia2
Rosario Central0
Gimnasia L.P.2
Ind. Rivadavia3
Ind. Rivadavia1
Barracas Central2
Ind. Rivadavia1
River Plate1
La Guaira
Trujillanos0
La Guaira1
La Guaira0
Portuguesa0
Bolivar1
La Guaira1
Dep. Tachira2
La Guaira3
La Guaira0
Fluminense0
La Guaira1
Carabobo1
Universidad Central0
La Guaira1
Anzoategui FC0
La Guaira0
La Guaira0
Puerto Cabello0
Estudiantes Merida0
La Guaira1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 30th April 2026, Ind Rivadavia host La Guaira in Copa Libertadores. We recommend Ind Rivadavia to win as the standout selection.
Ind Rivadavia arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
La Guaira are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 6D 0L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: ind rivadavia to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Copa Libertadores match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.39. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ind Rivadavia vs La Guaira?
Our selection is 1 — Ind Rivadavia to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Ind Rivadavia's current form?
Ind Rivadavia have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has La Guaira been performing recently?
La Guaira have recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game.
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