WON Tip WON Sporting CP 3-0 Gil Vicente
S

Sporting CP

Home
W W D D D
4W 4D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
G
Gil Vicente
Away
L D W L D
2W 4D 4L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 16th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +2.6% Value detected
Kelly % 8.7% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Sporting CP
3
Draws
0
Gil Vicente
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sporting CP
Metric
Gil Vicente
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.3
1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-4-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
S0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(11.8%) 1-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Sporting CP
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.7
Gil Vicente
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 24%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.01.26LP
Gil Vicente1
Sporting CP1
04.05.25LP
Sporting CP2
Gil Vicente1
27.02.25TP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP1
22.12.24LP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP0
12.04.24LP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP4
04.12.23LP
Sporting CP3
Gil Vicente1
05.04.23LP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP0
30.09.22LP
Sporting CP3
Gil Vicente1
01.05.22LP
Sporting CP4
Gil Vicente1
18.12.21LP
Gil Vicente0
Sporting CP3
Recent Form
Sporting CP
11.05.26LP
Rio Ave1
Sporting CP4
W
04.05.26LP
Sporting CP5
Vitoria Guimaraes1
W
29.04.26LP
Sporting CP2
Tondela2
D
26.04.26LP
AFS1
Sporting CP1
D
22.04.26TP
FC Porto0
Sporting CP0
D
19.04.26LP
Sporting CP1
Benfica2
L
15.04.26CL
Arsenal0
Sporting CP0
D
11.04.26LP
Estrela0
Sporting CP1
W
07.04.26CL
Sporting CP0
Arsenal1
L
03.04.26LP
Sporting CP4
Santa Clara2
W
Gil Vicente
11.05.26LP
Gil Vicente1
Arouca3
L
03.05.26LP
Rio Ave0
Gil Vicente0
D
27.04.26LP
Gil Vicente2
Casa Pia1
W
18.04.26LP
Gil Vicente0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
L
13.04.26LP
Tondela2
Gil Vicente2
D
03.04.26LP
Gil Vicente3
AFS0
W
21.03.26LP
Santa Clara1
Gil Vicente0
L
14.03.26LP
Gil Vicente2
Alverca2
D
08.03.26LP
Estrela2
Gil Vicente2
D
02.03.26LP
Gil Vicente1
Benfica2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 16th May 2026, Sporting CP host Gil Vicente in Portugal Liga. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Sporting CP arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gil Vicente are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sporting CP, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Gil Vicente's 0, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Portugal Liga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.42. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Sporting CP's current form?
Sporting CP have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gil Vicente been performing recently?
Gil Vicente have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sporting CP lead with 7 wins versus Gil Vicente's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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