WON Tip WON France 3-1 Northern Ireland
F

France

Home
L W W W W
8W 1D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
3-1
N
Northern Ireland
Away
W D L W L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 8th June 2026
1
Backing France to win
France 60%
Draw 20%
Northern Ireland 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -11.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
France
0
Draws
0
Northern Ireland
3
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip France won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
France
Metric
Northern Ireland
2.4
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.9
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
80%
50%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
F0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 12.9%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 10.6%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.9%) 2-0(10.6%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
France Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Northern Ireland Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
France
Overall
8.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
7.3
Northern Ireland
Overall
5.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.08.99FI
Northern Ireland0
France1
04.07.82WC
France4
Northern Ireland1
19.06.58WC
France4
Northern Ireland0
Recent Form
France
04.06.26FI
France1
Ivory Coast2
L
29.03.26FI
Colombia1
France3
W
26.03.26FI
Brazil1
France2
W
16.11.25WC
Azerbaijan1
France3
W
13.11.25WC
France4
Ukraine0
W
13.10.25WC
Iceland2
France2
D
10.10.25WC
France3
Azerbaijan0
W
09.09.25WC
France2
Iceland1
W
05.09.25WC
Ukraine0
France2
W
08.06.25UNL
Germany0
France2
W
Northern Ireland
04.06.26FI
Northern Ireland1
Guinea0
W
31.03.26FI
Wales1
Northern Ireland1
D
26.03.26WC
Italy2
Northern Ireland0
L
17.11.25WC
Northern Ireland1
Luxembourg0
W
14.11.25WC
Slovakia1
Northern Ireland0
L
13.10.25WC
Northern Ireland0
Germany1
L
10.10.25WC
Northern Ireland2
Slovakia0
W
07.09.25WC
Germany3
Northern Ireland1
L
04.09.25WC
Luxembourg1
Northern Ireland3
W
10.06.25FI
Northern Ireland1
Iceland0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 8th June 2026, France host Northern Ireland in International Friendly. We recommend France to win as the standout selection.

France arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Northern Ireland are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour France, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Northern Ireland's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: france to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming International Friendly match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.17. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for France vs Northern Ireland?
Our selection is 1 — France to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is France's current form?
France have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Northern Ireland been performing recently?
Northern Ireland have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
France lead with 3 wins versus Northern Ireland's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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