L
Legia
Home
D
W
W
W
W
7W 2D 1L
→ Steady
VS
—
1:00 pm
—
N/A
B
Beer Sheva
Away
D
W
L
L
W
6W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
67.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+0.4%
Value detected
Kelly %
1.3%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.48
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Legia Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Legia vs Beer Sheva
Competition: Club Friendly
Date: Tuesday, 7th July 2026
KO: 1:00 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.48
Confidence: 68%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Legia Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Legia
Metric
Beer Sheva
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-2-1
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
L0
0-0
4.5%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
5.1%
0-3
2.5%
0-4
1.0%
0-5
0.3%
L1
1-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
L2
2-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
L3
3-0
3.1%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
3.5%
3-3
1.7%
3-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
L4
4-0
1.2%
4-1
1.9%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.7%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
L5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(10.8%)
2-1(8.7%)
1-2(8.1%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
L=Home goals ↓ B=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Home Win & BTTS No
24%
Draw & BTTS Yes
7%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
20%
Away Win & BTTS No
20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
24%
Home Win & Under 2.5
24%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
7%
Away Win & Over 2.5
20%
Away Win & Under 2.5
20%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Legia
Nurnberg II2
Legia2
Bayern II0
Legia2
Legia4
Motor Lublin0
Lechia Gdansk1
Legia2
Termalica B-B.0
Legia1
Legia1
Widzew Lodz0
Lech Poznan4
Legia0
Legia1
Zaglebie0
Legia1
Gornik Zabrze1
Pogon Szczecin0
Legia2
Beer Sheva
Omonia2
H. Beer Sheva2
Radomiak Radom2
H. Beer Sheva3
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Haifa5
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
H. Beer Sheva2
Beitar Jerusalem1
H. Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Haifa0
H. Beer Sheva1
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 7th July 2026, Legia host Beer Sheva at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Legia arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Beer Sheva are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.48 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Club Friendly match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.48, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 1:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Legia vs Beer Sheva?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Legia's current form?
Legia have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Beer Sheva been performing recently?
Beer Sheva have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.