Strong Signal 79% Confidence
G

Germany U19 W

Home
W D W W L
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
7:00 pm
Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo)
A
Austria U19 W
Away
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 7th July 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 68.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +10.5% Value detected
Kelly % 33.3% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.46
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Germany U19 W vs Austria U19 W Competition: Euro U19 Women Date: Tuesday, 7th July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 79% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Germany U19 W
1
Draws
1
Austria U19 W
4
Meetings
4.3
Avg Goals
75%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Germany U19 W
Metric
Austria U19 W
1.9
Goals For / Game
3.3
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.7
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-1-2
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
70%
70%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
G0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 7.4%
0-3 4.9%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 1.0%
G1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 6.4%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.3%
G2
2-0 3.1%
2-1 6.2%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
G3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
G4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.6%) 1-2(9.6%) 0-1(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Germany U19 W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.7
Austria U19 W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.07.23EUR
Germany U19 W6
Austria U190
14.11.22EUR
Austria U19 W2
Germany U191
09.04.19EUR
Austria U19 W2
Germany U192
25.07.16EUR
Germany U19 W3
Austria U191
Recent Form
Germany U19 W
03.07.26EUR
Germany U19 W2
Sweden U19 W0
W
30.06.26EUR
Poland U19 W1
Germany U19 W1
D
27.06.26EUR
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W0
Germany U19 W5
W
09.06.26FI
Germany U19 W1
USA U19 W0
W
05.06.26FI
Germany U19 W0
USA U19 W2
L
16.04.26EUR
Germany U19 W2
France U19 W1
W
13.04.26EUR
Germany U19 W4
Slovakia U19 W2
W
10.04.26EUR
Ireland U19 W0
Germany U19 W3
W
06.03.26FI
Italy U19 W0
Germany U19 W1
W
03.03.26FI
Germany U19 W0
Sweden U19 W1
L
Austria U19 W
04.07.26EUR
Spain U19 W2
Austria U19 W1
L
01.07.26EUR
Austria U19 W3
Switzerland U19 W1
W
28.06.26EUR
Austria U19 W3
Iceland U19 W0
W
16.04.26EUR
North Macedonia U19 W0
Austria U19 W5
W
13.04.26EUR
Norway U19 W0
Austria U19 W2
W
10.04.26EUR
Austria U19 W1
Scotland U19 W2
L
05.03.26FI
Austria U19 W2
Finland U19 W1
W
02.03.26FI
Austria U19 W3
Finland U19 W0
W
28.10.25EUR
Austria U19 W1
England U19 W1
D
25.10.25EUR
Austria U19 W12
Estonia U19 W0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 7th July 2026, Germany U19 W host Austria U19 W at Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo) in Euro U19 Women. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Germany U19 W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Austria U19 W are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Germany U19 W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Austria U19 W's 1, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Euro U19 Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.46, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Germany U19 W vs Austria U19 W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Germany U19 W's current form?
Germany U19 W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Austria U19 W been performing recently?
Austria U19 W have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Germany U19 W lead with 2 wins versus Austria U19 W's 1, with 1 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
⚠️
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