I
Independiente W
Home
L
L
L
L
W
3W 1D 6L
▼ Declining
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
N/A
R
Racing Club W
Away
W
D
W
W
W
7W 2D 1L
→ Steady
Independiente W
20%
Draw
30%
Racing Club W
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-21.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Racing Club W to win
1.29
Under 2.5 Goals65%
BTTS — No65%
Racing Club W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Independiente W vs Racing Club W
Competition: Argentina Primera Women
Date: Thursday, 9th July 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 2 (Racing Club W to win)
Odds: 1.29
Confidence: 56%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Also: Racing Club W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Independiente W
2
Draws
3
Racing Club W
6
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Racing Club W won 3 of 6 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Independiente W
Metric
Racing Club W
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.5
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
3-1-6
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
2.4
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
I0
0-0
9.5%
0-1
16.7%
0-2
14.6%
0-3
8.5%
0-4
3.7%
0-5
1.3%
I1
1-0
5.7%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
I2
2-0
1.7%
2-1
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
I3
3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
0.5%
3-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.1%
I4
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
I5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(16.7%)
0-2(14.6%)
1-2(8.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
I=Home goals ↓ R=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Independiente W Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Racing Club W Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Home Win & BTTS No
17%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
21%
Away Win & BTTS No
40%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
9%
Home Win & Under 2.5
17%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
21%
Away Win & Under 2.5
40%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Independiente W1
Racing Club1
Racing Club W1
Independiente1
Independiente W0
Racing Club4
Racing Club W3
Independiente1
Independiente W2
Racing Club0
Independiente W0
Racing Club1
Recent Form
Independiente W
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
Independiente W1
Talleres Cordoba W3
Ferro W6
Independiente W1
Independiente W0
Boca Juniors W1
Lanus W0
Independiente W1
Independiente W1
San Luis W0
Union de Santa Fe W2
Independiente W2
Social Atletico Television W0
Independiente W1
Independiente W0
Huracan W1
Belgrano W1
Independiente W0
Racing Club W
Racing Club W2
Huracan W0
Belgrano W0
Racing Club W0
Racing Club W3
River Plate W1
Banfield W0
Racing Club W4
Racing Club W4
Gimnasia L.P. W1
Newells Old Boys W0
Racing Club W1
Racing Club W1
Social Atletico Television W2
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
Talleres Cordoba W1
Racing Club W1
Racing Club W2
Ferro W0
Independiente W (Home)
Independiente W1
Talleres Cordoba W3
Independiente W0
Boca Juniors W1
Independiente W1
San Luis W0
Independiente W0
Huracan W1
Independiente W0
River Plate W2
Independiente W1
Belgrano W4
Independiente W1
Newells Old Boys W0
Independiente W1
Huracan W1
Independiente W0
Social Atletico Television W3
Independiente W1
River Plate W3
Racing Club W (Away)
Belgrano W0
Racing Club W0
Banfield W0
Racing Club W4
Newells Old Boys W0
Racing Club W1
Talleres Cordoba W1
Racing Club W1
Boca Juniors W2
Racing Club W3
Belgrano W2
Racing Club W0
Boca Juniors W0
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
Racing Club W1
River Plate W0
Racing Club W0
Velez Sarsfield W1
Racing Club W1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 9th July 2026, Independiente W host Racing Club W at N/A in Argentina Primera Women. We recommend Racing Club W to win as the standout selection.
Independiente W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Racing Club W are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Independiente W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Racing Club W's 3, with 2 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: racing club w to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Argentina Primera Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.29, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Independiente W vs Racing Club W?
Our selection is 2 — Racing Club W to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Independiente W's current form?
Independiente W have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Racing Club W been performing recently?
Racing Club W have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Independiente W lead with 1 wins versus Racing Club W's 3, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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