R
River Plate W
Home
W
L
W
L
L
5W 2D 3L
▲ Improving
VS
—
3:00 pm
—
River Camp (Buenos Aires)
S
Social Atletico Television W
Away
L
W
L
D
D
3W 3D 4L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
84.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-4.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
River Plate W
0
Draws
1
Social Atletico Television W
7
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
86%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Insufficient H2H data.
Stats Duel
Comparison
River Plate W
Metric
Social Atletico Television W
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
2.5
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
R0
0-0
8.6%
0-1
9.9%
0-2
5.7%
0-3
2.2%
0-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
R1
1-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
1-2
7.4%
1-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
R2
2-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
R3
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
2.1%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
R4
4-0
1.0%
4-1
1.2%
4-2
0.7%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
R5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(12.9%)
1-0(11.2%)
0-0(8.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
R=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
22%
Home Win & BTTS No
26%
Draw & BTTS Yes
11%
Draw & BTTS No
13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
13%
Away Win & BTTS No
15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
19%
Home Win & Under 2.5
29%
Draw & Over 2.5
10%
Draw & Under 2.5
14%
Away Win & Over 2.5
11%
Away Win & Under 2.5
17%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Social Atletico Television W2
River Plate3
River Plate W1
Social Atletico Television0
Social Atletico Television W1
River Plate3
River Plate W3
Social Atletico Television0
Social Atletico Television W2
River Plate1
River Plate W3
Social Atletico Television0
Social Atletico Television W1
River Plate2
Recent Form
River Plate W
River Plate W4
Banfield W1
Gimnasia L.P. W4
River Plate W2
River Plate W1
Newells Old Boys W0
Racing Club W3
River Plate W1
River Plate W0
San Lorenzo W1
Talleres Cordoba W1
River Plate W1
Boca Juniors W0
River Plate W1
River Plate W1
Ferro W0
River Plate W3
Lanus W0
San Luis W1
River Plate W1
Social Atletico Television W
Social Atletico Television W0
Boca Juniors W1
Banfield W0
Social Atletico Television W1
Social Atletico Television W0
Lanus W2
Gimnasia L.P. W1
Social Atletico Television W1
Social Atletico Television W2
San Luis W2
Newells Old Boys W0
Social Atletico Television W0
Social Atletico Television W5
Union de Santa Fe W0
Racing Club W1
Social Atletico Television W2
Social Atletico Television W0
Independiente W1
San Lorenzo W3
Social Atletico Television W1
River Plate W (Home)
River Plate W4
Banfield W1
River Plate W1
Newells Old Boys W0
River Plate W0
San Lorenzo W1
River Plate W1
Ferro W0
River Plate W3
Lanus W0
River Plate W6
Union de Santa Fe W1
River Plate W3
Huracan W1
River Plate W0
Belgrano W0
River Plate W0
Racing Club W0
River Plate W0
Gimnasia L.P. W0
Social Atletico Television W (Away)
Banfield W0
Social Atletico Television W1
Gimnasia L.P. W1
Social Atletico Television W1
Newells Old Boys W0
Social Atletico Television W0
Racing Club W1
Social Atletico Television W2
San Lorenzo W3
Social Atletico Television W1
Talleres Cordoba W1
Social Atletico Television W1
Boca Juniors W2
Social Atletico Television W1
Belgrano W2
Social Atletico Television W0
Newells Old Boys W4
Social Atletico Television W1
Independiente W0
Social Atletico Television W3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 13th July 2026, River Plate W host Social Atletico Television W at River Camp (Buenos Aires) in Argentina Primera Women. We recommend River Plate W to win or draw as the standout selection.
River Plate W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Social Atletico Television W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour River Plate W, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Social Atletico Television W's 1, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 57% of those meetings.
Our verdict: river plate w to win or draw at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Argentina Primera Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1X at @1.18, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 3:00 pm over at River Camp (Buenos Aires).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for River Plate W vs Social Atletico Television W?
Our selection is 1X — River Plate W to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is River Plate W's current form?
River Plate W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Social Atletico Television W been performing recently?
Social Atletico Television W have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
River Plate W lead with 6 wins versus Social Atletico Television W's 1, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
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