S
San Lorenzo W
Home
W
W
W
D
W
8W 1D 1L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
7:00 pm
โ
Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires)
S
San Luis W
Away
L
W
D
D
D
3W 5D 2L
โ Steady
San Lorenzo W
50%
Draw
30%
San Luis W
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
74.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-11.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ San Lorenzo W to win
1.34
San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet60%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
Competition: Argentina Primera Women
Date: Monday, 13th July 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 1 (San Lorenzo W to win)
Odds: 1.34
Confidence: 63%
Also: San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
2
San Lorenzo W
1
Draws
0
San Luis W
3
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
San Lorenzo W won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
San Lorenzo W
Metric
San Luis W
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.4
Goals Against / Game
0.8
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-1-1
W โ D โ L
3-5-2
Win Rate
2.3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0
10.0%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
3.6%
0-3
1.0%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
S1
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.4%
1-2
5.3%
1-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
S2
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
S3
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
S4
4-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
4-2
0.7%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(14.5%)
2-0(10.5%)
2-1(9.0%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals โ S=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
San Lorenzo W Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
San Luis W Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
23%
Home Win & BTTS No
34%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
23%
Home Win & Under 2.5
34%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
13%
Away Win & Over 2.5
9%
Away Win & Under 2.5
13%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
San Lorenzo W4
San Luis0
San Lorenzo W3
San Luis1
San Luis W0
San Lorenzo0
Recent Form
San Lorenzo W
Union de Santa Fe W1
San Lorenzo W2
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
Huracan W0
San Lorenzo W1
San Lorenzo W0
Belgrano W0
River Plate W0
San Lorenzo W1
San Lorenzo W3
Banfield W0
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo W4
San Lorenzo W5
Newells Old Boys W0
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
San Lorenzo W3
Social Atletico Television W1
San Luis W
San Luis W1
Talleres Cordoba W2
Ferro W0
San Luis W2
San Luis W0
Boca Juniors W0
Lanus W1
San Luis W1
Social Atletico Television W2
San Luis W2
San Luis W3
Union de Santa Fe W0
Independiente W1
San Luis W0
San Luis W1
Huracan W1
Belgrano W0
San Luis W2
San Luis W1
River Plate W1
San Lorenzo W (Home)
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
San Lorenzo W0
Belgrano W0
San Lorenzo W3
Banfield W0
San Lorenzo W5
Newells Old Boys W0
San Lorenzo W3
Social Atletico Television W1
San Lorenzo W3
Talleres Cordoba W0
San Lorenzo W1
Boca Juniors W1
San Lorenzo W0
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
Colo-Colo W1
San Lorenzo W1
Olimpia Asuncion W0
San Luis W (Away)
Ferro W0
San Luis W2
Lanus W1
San Luis W1
Social Atletico Television W2
San Luis W2
Independiente W1
San Luis W0
Belgrano W0
San Luis W2
Banfield W2
San Luis W0
Newells Old Boys W0
San Luis W0
Platense W0
San Luis W0
Huracan W0
San Luis W1
Social Atletico Television W3
San Luis W1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 13th July 2026, San Lorenzo W host San Luis W at Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires) in Argentina Primera Women. We recommend San Lorenzo W to win as the standout selection.
San Lorenzo W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
San Luis W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 5D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour San Lorenzo W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to San Luis W's 0, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.
Our verdict: san lorenzo w to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Argentina Primera Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.34, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W?
Our selection is 1 โ San Lorenzo W to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is San Lorenzo W's current form?
San Lorenzo W have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has San Luis W been performing recently?
San Luis W have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
San Lorenzo W lead with 2 wins versus San Luis W's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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