L
Lyon
Home
W
W
L
L
W
6W 1D 3L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
5:30 pm
โ
N/A
S
Servette
Away
L
W
D
W
W
6W 3D 1L
โ Steady
Implied Prob
67.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+9.9%
Value detected
Kelly %
30.1%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 โ over 2.5 goals
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals95%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lyon vs Servette
Competition: Club Friendly
Date: Wednesday, 15th July 2026
KO: 5:30 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.49
Confidence: 77%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Lyon
0
Draws
1
Servette
2
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lyon
Metric
Servette
2.4
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-1-3
W โ D โ L
6-3-1
Win Rate
3.7
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
L0
0-0
2.5%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
4.9%
0-3
3.3%
0-4
1.7%
0-5
0.7%
L1
1-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
L2
2-0
3.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
2-3
4.8%
2-4
2.4%
2-5
1.0%
L3
3-0
2.0%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
3-3
2.7%
3-4
1.4%
3-5
0.5%
L4
4-0
0.9%
4-1
1.7%
4-2
1.7%
4-3
1.2%
4-4
0.6%
4-5
0.2%
L5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-1(8.4%)
1-2(8.4%)
2-1(7.2%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
L=Home goals โ S=Away โ
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
26%
Home Win & BTTS No
17%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
26%
Away Win & BTTS No
17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
26%
Home Win & Under 2.5
17%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
26%
Away Win & Under 2.5
17%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Lyon1
Servette2
Lyon3
Servette1
Recent Form
Lyon
Lyon6
St. Gallen3
Lyon5
Macon2
Lyon0
Lens4
Toulouse2
Lyon1
Lyon4
Rennes2
Lyon3
Auxerre2
PSG1
Lyon2
Lyon2
Lorient0
Angers0
Lyon0
Lyon1
Monaco2
Servette
Servette1
Etoile-Carouge2
Servette2
Lausanne Ouchy0
Servette1
Stade Nyonnais1
Zurich0
Servette2
Servette2
Lausanne0
Luzern3
Servette3
Grasshoppers0
Servette2
Servette5
Winterthur3
Young Boys1
Servette1
Servette3
Luzern0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Lyon host Servette at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Lyon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Servette are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Lyon, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Servette's 1, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.49 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Club Friendly match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.49, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 5:30 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lyon vs Servette?
Our selection is Over 2.5 โ over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.49. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Servette been performing recently?
Servette have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lyon lead with 1 wins versus Servette's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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