Strong Signal 80% Confidence
B

Benjamin Aceval

Home
W D D W W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
7:00 pm
N/A
G
Guairena
Away
L L W L W
4W 3D 3L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 27th July 2026
1X
Backing Benjamin Aceval to win or draw
Implied Prob 89.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -9.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Benjamin Aceval
0
Draws
0
Guairena
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Benjamin Aceval
Metric
Guairena
1.9
Goals For / Game
1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-2-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
70%
40%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
B0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 12.1%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.7%) 1-0(12.1%) 2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Benjamin Aceval
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
Guairena
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.04.26DI
Guairena0
Benjamin Aceval4
Recent Form
Benjamin Aceval
18.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Resistencia0
W
12.07.26DI
Sol de America1
Benjamin Aceval1
D
06.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Dep. Capiata1
D
30.06.26DI
Independiente FBC1
Benjamin Aceval2
W
06.06.26DI
Benjamin Aceval3
Tacuary2
W
30.05.26DI
Atl. Tembetary4
Benjamin Aceval3
L
24.05.26DI
Paraguari AC1
Benjamin Aceval2
W
21.05.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Sp. Carapegua0
W
15.05.26DI
12 de Junio1
Benjamin Aceval2
W
10.05.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Encarnacion FC0
W
Guairena
18.07.26DI
Sp. Carapegua2
Guairena1
L
12.07.26DI
Guairena0
12 de Junio1
L
06.07.26DI
Encarnacion FC1
Guairena2
W
01.07.26DI
Guairena0
Deportivo Santani2
L
06.06.26DI
Fernando de la Mora1
Guairena3
W
01.06.26DI
Guairena2
3 de Noviembre1
W
25.05.26DI
General Caballero JLM0
Guairena0
D
20.05.26DI
Guairena1
Paraguari AC0
W
16.05.26DI
Guairena0
Resistencia0
D
11.05.26DI
Sol de America1
Guairena1
D
Benjamin Aceval (Home)
18.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Resistencia0
W
06.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Dep. Capiata1
D
06.06.26DI
Benjamin Aceval3
Tacuary2
W
21.05.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Sp. Carapegua0
W
10.05.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Encarnacion FC0
W
26.04.26DI
Benjamin Aceval0
Fernando de la Mora1
L
11.04.26DI
Benjamin Aceval0
General Caballero JLM0
D
28.08.25COP
Benjamin Aceval0
Guarani3
L
08.09.24COP
Benjamin Aceval1
Ameliano2
L
Guairena (Away)
18.07.26DI
Sp. Carapegua2
Guairena1
L
06.07.26DI
Encarnacion FC1
Guairena2
W
06.06.26DI
Fernando de la Mora1
Guairena3
W
25.05.26DI
General Caballero JLM0
Guairena0
D
11.05.26DI
Sol de America1
Guairena1
D
26.04.26DI
Independiente FBC2
Guairena0
L
10.04.26DI
Atl. Tembetary3
Guairena2
L
28.09.25DI
River Plate2
Guairena4
W
14.09.25DI
Pastoreo1
Guairena0
L
29.08.25DI
Tacuary0
Guairena1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 27th July 2026, Benjamin Aceval host Guairena at N/A in Paraguay Division Intermedia. We recommend Benjamin Aceval to win or draw as the standout selection.

Benjamin Aceval arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Guairena are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Benjamin Aceval, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Guairena's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: benjamin aceval to win or draw at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this P match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1X at @1.12, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at N/A.

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Benjamin Aceval vs Guairena?
Our selection is 1X — Benjamin Aceval to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Benjamin Aceval's current form?
Benjamin Aceval have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Guairena been performing recently?
Guairena have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Benjamin Aceval lead with 1 wins versus Guairena's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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