Moderate Signal 51% Confidence
D

Dainava Alytus

Home
W W W W W
7W 0D 2L → Steady
VS
4:00 pm
N/A
T
Transinvest 2
Away
D L L W L
2W 1D 7L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 28th July 2026
1
Backing Dainava Alytus to win
Dainava Alytus 50%
Draw 30%
Transinvest 2 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dainava Alytus to win
1.27
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet67%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dainava Alytus vs Transinvest 2 Competition: Lithuania I Lyga Date: Tuesday, 28th July 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Dainava Alytus to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 51% Also: Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet (67%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Dainava Alytus
1
Draws
0
Transinvest 2
1
Meetings
6
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Dainava Alytus won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dainava Alytus
Metric
Transinvest 2
2
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2.5
67%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-0-2
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
78%
20%
3
Avg Goals
79%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
D0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 11.2%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
D2
2-0 12.6%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 3.5%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
D3
3-0 9.5%
3-1 7.1%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 5.3%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 2.4%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(12.6%) 1-0(11.2%) 2-1(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dainava Alytus Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Transinvest 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dainava Alytus
Overall
7.8
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.4
Transinvest 2
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
1.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 48%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26IL
Transinvest 23
Dainava Alytus3
Recent Form
Dainava Alytus
27.06.26IL
Dainava Alytus1
Neptunas0
W
21.06.26IL
Dainava Alytus5
Siauliai 20
W
12.06.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Dainava Alytus2
W
08.06.26IL
Dainava Alytus1
Garliava0
W
29.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus2
Ekranas0
W
22.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus1
BE1 NFA2
L
19.05.26CUP
Klaipedos FM0
Dainava Alytus2
W
15.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus3
Hegelmann Litauen 22
W
09.05.26IL
FK Minija3
Dainava Alytus1
L
Transinvest 2
20.07.26IL
Transinvest 22
Neptunas2
D
27.06.26IL
Transinvest 20
Tauras Taurage1
L
19.06.26IL
Garliava3
Transinvest 20
L
14.06.26IL
Siauliai 21
Transinvest 22
W
10.06.26IL
Neptunas3
Transinvest 20
L
30.05.26IL
Transinvest 20
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
22.05.26IL
Ekranas4
Transinvest 20
L
15.05.26IL
Transinvest 20
BE1 NFA2
L
11.05.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 21
Transinvest 22
W
03.05.26IL
Transinvest 21
FK Minija7
L
Dainava Alytus (Home)
27.06.26IL
Dainava Alytus1
Neptunas0
W
21.06.26IL
Dainava Alytus5
Siauliai 20
W
08.06.26IL
Dainava Alytus1
Garliava0
W
29.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus2
Ekranas0
W
22.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus1
BE1 NFA2
L
15.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus3
Hegelmann Litauen 22
W
02.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus3
Jonava0
W
08.11.25TL
Dainava Alytus1
Riteriai1
D
27.10.25TL
Dainava Alytus0
Hegelmann2
L
Transinvest 2 (Away)
19.06.26IL
Garliava3
Transinvest 20
L
14.06.26IL
Siauliai 21
Transinvest 22
W
10.06.26IL
Neptunas3
Transinvest 20
L
22.05.26IL
Ekranas4
Transinvest 20
L
11.05.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 21
Transinvest 22
W
25.04.26IL
Jonava4
Transinvest 20
L
03.04.26IL
Atmosfera1
Transinvest 22
W
18.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Transinvest 20
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, Dainava Alytus host Transinvest 2 at N/A in Lithuania I Lyga. We recommend Dainava Alytus to win as the standout selection.

Dainava Alytus arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Transinvest 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dainava Alytus, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Transinvest 2's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dainava alytus to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Lithuania I Lyga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.27, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 4:00 pm over at N/A.

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dainava Alytus vs Transinvest 2?
Our selection is 1 — Dainava Alytus to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Dainava Alytus's current form?
Dainava Alytus have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches.
How has Transinvest 2 been performing recently?
Transinvest 2 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dainava Alytus lead with 0 wins versus Transinvest 2's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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