C
Chelsea
Home
L
W
L
D
L
3W 1D 6L
โ Steady
VS
โ
10:45 am
โ
Accor Stadium (Sydney)
W
WS Wanderers
Away
W
L
L
L
L
2W 1D 7L
โฒ Improving
Chelsea
50%
Draw
30%
WS Wanderers
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
86.2%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-44.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Chelsea to win
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chelsea vs WS Wanderers
Competition: Club Friendly
Date: Tuesday, 28th July 2026
KO: 10:45 am
Pick: 1 (Chelsea to win)
Odds: 1.16
Confidence: 42%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chelsea
Metric
WS Wanderers
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-1-6
W โ D โ L
2-1-7
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
C0
0-0
4.5%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
4.7%
0-3
2.3%
0-4
0.8%
0-5
0.2%
C1
1-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
C2
2-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
C3
3-0
3.4%
3-1
4.9%
3-2
3.6%
3-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
C4
4-0
1.4%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
1.5%
4-3
0.7%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
C5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(8.9%)
1-0(7.4%)
2-0(6.1%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals โ W=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Chelsea Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
WS Wanderers Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
23%
Home Win & BTTS No
28%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
33%
Home Win & Under 2.5
18%
Draw & Over 2.5
11%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
21%
Away Win & Under 2.5
12%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
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Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, Chelsea host WS Wanderers at Accor Stadium (Sydney) in Club Friendly. We recommend Chelsea to win as the standout selection.
Chelsea arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.
WS Wanderers are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: chelsea to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Club Friendly match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.16, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 10:45 am over at Accor Stadium (Sydney).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chelsea vs WS Wanderers?
Our selection is 1 โ Chelsea to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 42%.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has WS Wanderers been performing recently?
WS Wanderers have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game.
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