H
H. Beer Sheva
Home
L
L
L
W
D
3W 2D 5L
▲ Improving
VS
—
6:30 pm
—
Haladás Sportkomplexum (Szombathely)
V
Vikingur Reykjavik
Away
W
W
L
D
W
6W 1D 3L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
83.3%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+9.7%
Value detected
Kelly %
58%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
H. Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik
Competition: UCL Qualifiers
Date: Wednesday, 29th July 2026
KO: 6:30 pm
Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.20
Confidence: 93%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
0
H. Beer Sheva
0
Draws
1
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
H. Beer Sheva
Metric
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.3
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1.4
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-2-5
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
3.9
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
H0
0-0
2.1%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
5.4%
0-3
4.0%
0-4
2.3%
0-5
1.0%
H1
1-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
1-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
H2
2-0
2.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
6.9%
2-3
5.2%
2-4
2.9%
2-5
1.3%
H3
3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
3.7%
3-3
2.8%
3-4
1.6%
3-5
0.7%
H4
4-0
0.6%
4-1
1.3%
4-2
1.5%
4-3
1.1%
4-4
0.6%
4-5
0.3%
H5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.4%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-2(8.6%)
1-1(7.7%)
2-2(6.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
H=Home goals ↓ V=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
22%
Home Win & BTTS No
7%
Draw & BTTS Yes
11%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
43%
Away Win & BTTS No
14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
23%
Home Win & Under 2.5
6%
Draw & Over 2.5
11%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
46%
Away Win & Under 2.5
11%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
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Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Recent Form
H. Beer Sheva
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Legia3
H. Beer Sheva1
Omonia2
H. Beer Sheva2
Radomiak Radom2
H. Beer Sheva3
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Haifa5
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
H. Beer Sheva2
Beitar Jerusalem1
H. Beer Sheva1
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik5
Keflavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
Thor Akureyri2
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Gyor2
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Gyor0
Vikingur Reykjavik3
KA Akureyri2
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik0
Breidablik1
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Fram0
Vikingur Reykjavik5
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 29th July 2026, H. Beer Sheva host Vikingur Reykjavik at Haladás Sportkomplexum (Szombathely) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.
H. Beer Sheva arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Vikingur Reykjavik are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour H. Beer Sheva, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Vikingur Reykjavik's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this UCL Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.20, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 6:30 pm over at Haladás Sportkomplexum (Szombathely).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for H. Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 93%.
What is H. Beer Sheva's current form?
H. Beer Sheva have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vikingur Reykjavik been performing recently?
Vikingur Reykjavik have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
H. Beer Sheva lead with 0 wins versus Vikingur Reykjavik's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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