M
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Home
W
W
L
W
W
4W 2D 4L
▼ Declining
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Adjarabet Arena (Batumi)
S
Sheriff Tiraspol
Away
D
L
W
W
W
5W 4D 1L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
88.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-5.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.13
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Competition: Europa League Qualifier
Date: Thursday, 30th July 2026
KO: 5:00 pm
Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.13
Confidence: 83%
Also: Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0
Draws
0
Sheriff Tiraspol
1
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Metric
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.5
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
70%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-4-1
Win Rate
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
M0
0-0
6.7%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
6.6%
0-3
3.1%
0-4
1.1%
0-5
0.3%
M1
1-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
4.0%
1-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
M2
2-0
5.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
M3
3-0
2.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
2.4%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
M4
4-0
0.8%
4-1
1.1%
4-2
0.8%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
M5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(12.2%)
0-1(9.4%)
1-0(8.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
M=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
13%
Home Win & BTTS No
20%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
17%
Away Win & BTTS No
25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
18%
Home Win & Under 2.5
15%
Draw & Over 2.5
14%
Draw & Under 2.5
11%
Away Win & Over 2.5
23%
Away Win & Under 2.5
19%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Recent Form
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
IMT Novi Beograd1
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Alashkert0
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Beitar Jerusalem2
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Milsami0
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Petrocub2
Sheriff Tiraspol3
Aluminij0
Sheriff Tiraspol1
Sheriff Tiraspol4
Zimbru Chisinau2
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Aluminij0
Politehnica UTM0
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Sheriff Tiraspol3
Real Sireti0
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau0
Milsami0
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 30th July 2026, Maccabi Tel Aviv host Sheriff Tiraspol at Adjarabet Arena (Batumi) in Europa League Qualifier. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.
Maccabi Tel Aviv arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Sheriff Tiraspol are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 4D 1L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Maccabi Tel Aviv, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Sheriff Tiraspol's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Europa League Qualifier match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.13, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Adjarabet Arena (Batumi).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 83%.
What is Maccabi Tel Aviv's current form?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sheriff Tiraspol been performing recently?
Sheriff Tiraspol have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Maccabi Tel Aviv lead with 1 wins versus Sheriff Tiraspol's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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