P
Prospect United
Home
D
L
L
D
D
1W 6D 3L
โฒ Improving
VS
โ
11:00 am
โ
N/A
B
Blacktown Spartans
Away
W
W
W
W
W
7W 2D 1L
โผ Declining
Prospect United
20%
Draw
30%
Blacktown Spartans
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
71.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-5.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 โ Blacktown Spartans to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals90%
BTTS โ Yes75%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
Competition: Australia NSW League One
Date: Friday, 31st July 2026
KO: 11:00 am
Pick: 2 (Blacktown Spartans to win)
Odds: 1.39
Confidence: 66%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Also: BTTS โ Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Prospect United
0
Draws
1
Blacktown Spartans
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Blacktown Spartans won 1 of 1 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Prospect United
Metric
Blacktown Spartans
1.1
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
1-6-3
W โ D โ L
7-2-1
Win Rate
3.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
P0
0-0
4.3%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
9.5%
0-3
6.6%
0-4
3.5%
0-5
1.5%
P1
1-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
P2
2-0
2.4%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
5.2%
2-3
3.7%
2-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
P3
3-0
0.8%
3-1
1.7%
3-2
1.8%
3-3
1.3%
3-4
0.7%
3-5
0.3%
P4
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.5%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
P5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-2(9.9%)
0-2(9.5%)
0-1(9.0%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
P=Home goals โ B=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Prospect United Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Blacktown Spartans Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Home Win & BTTS No
2%
Draw & BTTS Yes
25%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
44%
Away Win & BTTS No
15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
5%
Home Win & Under 2.5
3%
Draw & Over 2.5
20%
Draw & Under 2.5
13%
Away Win & Over 2.5
35%
Away Win & Under 2.5
24%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Blacktown Spartans4
Prospect United0
Recent Form
Prospect United
Inter Lions1
Prospect United1
Prospect United1
Macarthur Rams2
Canterbury Bankstown2
Prospect United1
Prospect United1
Hakoah Sydney1
Prospect United1
Bulls Academy1
Hills United0
Prospect United0
Prospect United0
Dulwich Hill0
Newcastle Jets U232
Prospect United2
Prospect United0
Northern Tigers3
Central Coast Mariners U232
Prospect United4
Blacktown Spartans
Northern Tigers0
Blacktown Spartans3
Canterbury Bankstown1
Blacktown Spartans2
Central Coast Mariners U230
Blacktown Spartans2
Blacktown Spartans7
Newcastle Jets U232
Blacktown Spartans3
Rydalmere Lions1
Dulwich Hill1
Blacktown Spartans1
Blacktown Spartans4
Bankstown City Lions1
Hakoah Sydney2
Blacktown Spartans1
Blacktown Spartans4
Western City Rangers1
Hills United1
Blacktown Spartans1
Prospect United (Home)
Prospect United1
Macarthur Rams2
Prospect United1
Hakoah Sydney1
Prospect United1
Bulls Academy1
Prospect United0
Dulwich Hill0
Prospect United0
Northern Tigers3
Prospect United0
Bankstown City Lions1
Prospect United2
Rydalmere Lions2
Prospect United1
Inter Lions1
Prospect United1
Canterbury Bankstown1
Prospect United2
Hills United3
Prospect United1
Newcastle Jets U231
Blacktown Spartans (Away)
Northern Tigers0
Blacktown Spartans3
Canterbury Bankstown1
Blacktown Spartans2
Central Coast Mariners U230
Blacktown Spartans2
Dulwich Hill1
Blacktown Spartans1
Hakoah Sydney2
Blacktown Spartans1
Hills United1
Blacktown Spartans1
Hurstville Zagreb2
Blacktown Spartans2
Inter Lions1
Blacktown Spartans2
Newcastle Jets U233
Blacktown Spartans3
Rydalmere Lions2
Blacktown Spartans3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 31st July 2026, Prospect United host Blacktown Spartans at N/A in Australia NSW League One. We recommend Blacktown Spartans to win as the standout selection.
Prospect United arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Blacktown Spartans are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Prospect United, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Blacktown Spartans's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: blacktown spartans to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Australia NSW League One match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 5 wins from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.39, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 11:00 am over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans?
Our selection is 2 โ Blacktown Spartans to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Prospect United's current form?
Prospect United have won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Blacktown Spartans been performing recently?
Blacktown Spartans have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Prospect United lead with 0 wins versus Blacktown Spartans's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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