C
Cruzeiro W
Home
L
L
W
D
W
3W 4D 3L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
7:00 pm
โ
Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare) (Sete Lagoas)
B
Botafogo RJ W
Away
L
L
L
W
L
1W 1D 8L
โ Steady
Cruzeiro W
50%
Draw
30%
Botafogo RJ W
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
80.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-37.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Cruzeiro W to win
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W
Competition: Brasileiro Women
Date: Saturday, 1st August 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Cruzeiro W to win)
Odds: 1.24
Confidence: 43%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Cruzeiro W
1
Draws
0
Botafogo RJ W
2
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Cruzeiro W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cruzeiro W
Metric
Botafogo RJ W
2
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-4-3
W โ D โ L
1-1-8
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
C0
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
2.3%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
C1
1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
4.6%
1-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
C2
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
C3
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
C4
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(11.3%)
2-0(11.0%)
2-1(9.9%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals โ B=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cruzeiro W Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Botafogo RJ W Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
21%
Home Win & BTTS No
25%
Draw & BTTS Yes
17%
Draw & BTTS No
21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Away Win & BTTS No
9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
30%
Home Win & Under 2.5
16%
Draw & Over 2.5
25%
Draw & Under 2.5
13%
Away Win & Over 2.5
10%
Away Win & Under 2.5
6%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Cruzeiro W3
Botafogo RJ0
Cruzeiro W1
Botafogo RJ1
Recent Form
Cruzeiro W
Cruzeiro W1
Sao Paulo W2
Fluminense W2
Cruzeiro W1
Cruzeiro W5
Doce Mel W0
Vitoria W2
Cruzeiro W2
Cruzeiro W3
Corinthians W2
Cruzeiro W4
America Mineiro W0
Juventude W0
Cruzeiro W0
Bragantino W2
Cruzeiro W2
Cruzeiro W1
Internacional W2
Ferroviaria W1
Cruzeiro W1
Botafogo RJ W
Bahia W2
Botafogo RJ W1
Botafogo RJ W0
Bragantino W2
Vitoria W2
Botafogo RJ W0
Botafogo RJ W3
Juventude W0
Botafogo RJ W0
America Mineiro W3
Palmeiras W3
Botafogo RJ W0
Internacional W1
Botafogo RJ W0
Botafogo RJ W0
Bragantino W3
Atletico-MG W2
Botafogo RJ W0
Botafogo RJ W1
Santos W1
Cruzeiro W (Home)
Cruzeiro W1
Sao Paulo W2
Cruzeiro W5
Doce Mel W0
Cruzeiro W3
Corinthians W2
Cruzeiro W4
America Mineiro W0
Cruzeiro W1
Internacional W2
Cruzeiro W3
Fluminense W2
Cruzeiro W3
Atletico-MG W1
Cruzeiro W1
Santos W1
Cruzeiro W2
America Mineiro W2
Cruzeiro W2
Itabirito W2
Botafogo RJ W (Away)
Bahia W2
Botafogo RJ W1
Vitoria W2
Botafogo RJ W0
Palmeiras W3
Botafogo RJ W0
Internacional W1
Botafogo RJ W0
Atletico-MG W2
Botafogo RJ W0
Mixto W2
Botafogo RJ W1
Vasco W2
Botafogo RJ W1
Ferroviaria W2
Botafogo RJ W1
Fluminense W1
Botafogo RJ W0
Fluminense W2
Botafogo RJ W1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Cruzeiro W host Botafogo RJ W at Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare) (Sete Lagoas) in Brasileiro Women. We recommend Cruzeiro W to win as the standout selection.
Cruzeiro W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Botafogo RJ W are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Cruzeiro W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Botafogo RJ W's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: cruzeiro w to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Brasileiro Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.24, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at Estadio Joaquim Henrique Nogueira (Jacare) (Sete Lagoas).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W?
Our selection is 1 โ Cruzeiro W to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Cruzeiro W's current form?
Cruzeiro W have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Botafogo RJ W been performing recently?
Botafogo RJ W have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cruzeiro W lead with 1 wins versus Botafogo RJ W's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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