R
River Plate 2
Home
W
D
W
D
W
5W 4D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
—
11:00 pm
—
N/A
A
Aldosivi 2
Away
D
D
W
D
L
3W 5D 2L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
78.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-20.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
River Plate 2
0
Draws
0
Aldosivi 2
3
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
River Plate 2 won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
River Plate 2
Metric
Aldosivi 2
1.7
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-4-1
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate
2.2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
R0
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.9%
0-2
4.2%
0-3
1.2%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.0%
R1
1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.9%
1-2
5.5%
1-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
R2
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
R3
3-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
R4
4-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
R5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(15.1%)
2-0(9.8%)
2-1(8.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
R=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Home Win & BTTS No
22%
Draw & BTTS Yes
16%
Draw & BTTS No
20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
18%
Home Win & Under 2.5
22%
Draw & Over 2.5
16%
Draw & Under 2.5
20%
Away Win & Over 2.5
11%
Away Win & Under 2.5
13%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Aldosivi 20
River Plate 22
River Plate 25
Aldosivi 21
River Plate 22
Aldosivi 20
Recent Form
River Plate 2
Gimnasia L.P. 20
River Plate 21
River Plate 22
Union de Santa Fe 22
Atl. Tucuman 21
River Plate 24
River Plate 20
Godoy Cruz 20
Gimnasia Mendoza 21
River Plate 22
Talleres Cordoba 20
River Plate 20
River Plate 24
Barracas Central 20
River Plate 21
Racing Club 22
Boca Juniors 20
River Plate 2 (1-3)0
River Plate 23
Lanus 21
Aldosivi 2
Aldosivi 22
Racing Club 22
Sarmiento Junin 20
Aldosivi 20
Aldosivi 21
Argentinos Jrs 20
Instituto 21
Aldosivi 21
Gimnasia L.P. 22
Aldosivi 20
Aldosivi 20
Union de Santa Fe 20
Atl. Tucuman 22
Aldosivi 21
Godoy Cruz 22
Aldosivi 22
Aldosivi 21
Gimnasia Mendoza 20
Barracas Central 20
Aldosivi 22
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Unknown League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.28, sitting at roughly 48% in our model. The match gets going at 11:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for River Plate 2 vs Aldosivi 2?
Our selection is 1 — River Plate 2 to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is River Plate 2's current form?
River Plate 2 have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aldosivi 2 been performing recently?
Aldosivi 2 have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
River Plate 2 lead with 3 wins versus Aldosivi 2's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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