U
USM Alger
Home
D
D
D
D
D
2W 5D 3L
▲ Improving
VS
—
9:00 pm
—
Stade du 5 Juillet 1962 (Algiers)
E
El Biar
Away
L
W
W
W
W
8W 1D 1L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-35.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
USM Alger
Metric
El Biar
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-5-3
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
2.4
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
U0
0-0
9.1%
0-1
13.6%
0-2
10.2%
0-3
5.1%
0-4
1.9%
0-5
0.6%
U1
1-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
U2
2-0
3.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
U3
3-0
1.1%
3-1
1.7%
3-2
1.2%
3-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
U4
4-0
0.3%
4-1
0.4%
4-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
U5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(8.2%)
2-1(5.5%)
2-0(3.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
U=Home goals ↓ E=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Home Win & BTTS No
8%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Away Win & BTTS No
34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
7%
Home Win & Under 2.5
8%
Draw & Over 2.5
10%
Draw & Under 2.5
13%
Away Win & Over 2.5
28%
Away Win & Under 2.5
34%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
USM Alger
Khenchela0
USM Alger0
Club Africain0
USM Alger0
Oran2
USM Alger2
Ben Aknoun2
USM Alger2
USM Alger1
CR Belouizdad1
Rouisset1
USM Alger0
Khenchela2
USM Alger1
USM Alger4
Paradou2
USM Alger1
Olympique Akbou0
Zamalek1
USM Alger (7-8)0
El Biar
El Biar0
Olympique Akbou2
El Biar4
Arba1
Hussein Dey2
El Biar3
El Biar1
Tlemcen0
Kolea0
El Biar1
Bechar Djedid1
El Biar2
El Biar1
Temouchent0
Adrar0
El Biar5
El Biar0
RC Kouba0
Tixeraine1
El Biar2
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Unknown League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.30, sitting at roughly close to 55 in our model. The match gets going at 9:00 pm over at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962 (Algiers).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for USM Alger vs El Biar?
Our selection is 1 — USM Alger to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is USM Alger's current form?
USM Alger have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has El Biar been performing recently?
El Biar have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.