S
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Home
W
W
W
W
L
6W 0D 4L
โฒ Improving
VS
โ
10:00 pm
โ
FFB Stadium (Belmopan)
S
Sint Maarten
Away
L
L
L
D
W
3W 2D 5L
โผ Declining
Implied Prob
67.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-5.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
0
Draws
0
Sint Maarten
1
Meetings
6
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Metric
Sint Maarten
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-0-4
W โ D โ L
3-2-5
Win Rate
3.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0
3.7%
0-1
4.6%
0-2
2.9%
0-3
1.2%
0-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
S1
1-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
S2
2-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
S3
3-0
5.3%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
4.1%
3-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
S4
4-0
2.7%
4-1
3.4%
4-2
2.1%
4-3
0.9%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
S5
5-0
1.1%
5-1
1.4%
5-2
0.9%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.7%)
2-0(7.8%)
1-0(7.6%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals โ S=Away โ
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
30%
Home Win & BTTS No
30%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
36%
Home Win & Under 2.5
24%
Draw & Over 2.5
6%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
18%
Away Win & Under 2.5
12%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Sint Maarten2
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines4
Recent Form
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Sint Maarten2
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines4
Belize0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines2
French Guiana1
Barbados2
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines3
Bonaire3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines3
Saint Lucia1
Dominican Republic2
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1
Cuba0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines7
Cuba0
Puerto Rico2
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines1
Sint Maarten
Sint Maarten2
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines4
French Guiana1
Sint Maarten0
Sint Maarten0
Belize1
Dominica0
Sint Maarten0
Belize2
Sint Maarten3
Dominica2
Sint Maarten3
Saint Kitts and Nevis0
Sint Maarten0
Aruba0
Sint Maarten1
Sint Maarten0
Haiti8
Puerto Rico2
Sint Maarten1
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this CONCACAF Nations League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.49, sitting at roughly 50% in our model. The match gets going at 10:00 pm over at FFB Stadium (Belmopan).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Sint Maarten?
Our selection is 1 โ Saint Vincent and the Grenadines to win, priced at approximately 1.49. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's current form?
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sint Maarten been performing recently?
Sint Maarten have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines lead with 1 wins versus Sint Maarten's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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