S
St. Liege U23
Home
L
L
D
L
L
3W 3D 4L
▲ Improving
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
N/A
R
Renaissance Mons
Away
W
W
W
D
W
5W 2D 3L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
73.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+3.5%
Value detected
Kelly %
13.1%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Renaissance Mons to win
1.36
BTTS — No75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
Competition: Belgium National Division 1 - VV
Date: Wednesday, 7th October 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 2 (Renaissance Mons to win)
Odds: 1.36
Confidence: 77%
Also: BTTS — No (75%)
Head to Head
Record
0
St. Liege U23
0
Draws
4
Renaissance Mons
4
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
75%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Renaissance Mons won 4 of 4 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
St. Liege U23
Metric
Renaissance Mons
1.2
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-3-4
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
2.6
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0
7.4%
0-1
10.4%
0-2
7.3%
0-3
3.4%
0-4
1.2%
0-5
0.3%
S1
1-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
S2
2-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
S3
3-0
2.1%
3-1
3.0%
3-2
2.1%
3-3
1.0%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
S4
4-0
0.6%
4-1
0.9%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(10.4%)
1-2(8.7%)
0-2(7.3%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ R=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Home Win & BTTS No
22%
Draw & BTTS Yes
6%
Draw & BTTS No
18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
12%
Away Win & BTTS No
35%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
13%
Home Win & Under 2.5
16%
Draw & Over 2.5
11%
Draw & Under 2.5
13%
Away Win & Over 2.5
21%
Away Win & Under 2.5
26%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
St. Liege U230
Renaissance Mons2
Renaissance Mons5
St. Liege U231
Renaissance Mons3
St. Liege U231
St. Liege U231
Renaissance Mons2
Recent Form
St. Liege U23
Union Rochefortoise1
St. Liege U230
Royal Union SG 21
St. Liege U230
Habay La Neuve0
St. Liege U230
St. Liege U230
Meux1
St. Liege U230
Tubize-Braine1
OC Charleroi0
St. Liege U235
St. Liege U231
Schaerbeek-Evere1
Charleroi B0
St. Liege U232
Royal Union SG 21
St. Liege U231
St. Liege U233
Stockay-Warfusee0
Renaissance Mons
Renaissance Mons4
Flenu0
Londerzeel0
Renaissance Mons4
Onhaye2
Renaissance Mons5
Renaissance Mons2
Tubize-Braine2
Renaissance Mons3
OC Charleroi0
Charleroi B1
Renaissance Mons0
Renaissance Mons0
Meux5
Stade Mouscronnois1
Renaissance Mons0
KRC Harelbeke1
Renaissance Mons1
Renaissance Mons3
Meux0
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Belgium National Division 1 – VV match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.36, sitting at roughly 18% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons?
Our selection is 2 — Renaissance Mons to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is St. Liege U23's current form?
St. Liege U23 have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Renaissance Mons been performing recently?
Renaissance Mons have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
St. Liege U23 lead with 0 wins versus Renaissance Mons's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
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