O
Orlando Pirates
Home
W
W
L
W
W
8W 1D 1L
▲ Improving
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg)
A
African Stars
Away
L
W
L
L
L
4W 2D 4L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
89.3%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-19.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Orlando Pirates to win
1.12
Under 2.5 Goals70%
BTTS — No80%
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Orlando Pirates vs African Stars
Competition: CAF Champions League
Date: Friday, 23rd October 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Orlando Pirates to win)
Odds: 1.12
Confidence: 70%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Also: Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Orlando Pirates
1
Draws
0
African Stars
3
Meetings
0.7
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Orlando Pirates won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Orlando Pirates
Metric
African Stars
2
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1
80%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
2.3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
O0
0-0
10.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
3.0%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
O1
1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
4.5%
1-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
O2
2-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
O3
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
O4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
O5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(15.8%)
2-0(11.9%)
2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
O=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
12%
Home Win & BTTS No
47%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Away Win & BTTS No
24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
18%
Home Win & Under 2.5
41%
Draw & Over 2.5
3%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
9%
Away Win & Under 2.5
21%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
African Stars0
Orlando Pirates1
African Stars0
Orlando Pirates1
Orlando Pirates0
African Stars0
Recent Form
Orlando Pirates
African Stars0
Orlando Pirates1
Orlando Pirates3
TS Galaxy0
Orlando Pirates0
Mamelodi Sundowns2
Marumo Gallants0
Orlando Pirates2
Orlando Pirates2
Durban City0
Orlando Pirates3
La Cure Waves1
La Cure Waves0
Orlando Pirates0
Kruger United0
Orlando Pirates4
Orlando Pirates3
Sekhukhune0
Orlando Pirates2
Sekhukhune0
African Stars
African Stars0
Orlando Pirates1
African Stars2
Mangasport0
Mangasport3
African Stars1
Vipers1
African Stars0
African Stars0
Vipers1
Young Africans3
African Stars3
Mighty Gunners1
African Stars1
Okahandja0
African Stars1
African Stars2
Tigers0
African Stars2
Ongos0
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this CAF Champions League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.12, sitting at roughly roughly 64 in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Orlando Pirates vs African Stars?
Our selection is 1 — Orlando Pirates to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Orlando Pirates's current form?
Orlando Pirates have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has African Stars been performing recently?
African Stars have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Orlando Pirates lead with 2 wins versus African Stars's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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