S
Shamal
Home
L
D
D
L
W
3W 2D 5L
▼ Declining
VS
—
7:15 pm
—
Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor)
A
Al Hilal
Away
W
W
W
W
W
9W 0D 1L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
81.3%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+0.7%
Value detected
Kelly %
3.7%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Hilal to win
1.23
Under 2.5 Goals70%
BTTS — No80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shamal vs Al Hilal
Competition: AFC Champions League
Date: Tuesday, 27th October 2026
KO: 7:15 pm
Pick: 2 (Al Hilal to win)
Odds: 1.23
Confidence: 82%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shamal
Metric
Al Hilal
0
Goals For / Game
2.7
0
Goals Against / Game
0.8
0%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
9-0-1
Win Rate
1.8
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
S0
0-0
17.4%
0-1
23.5%
0-2
15.8%
0-3
7.1%
0-4
2.4%
0-5
0.7%
S1
1-0
7.0%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
1-4
1.0%
1-5
0.3%
S2
2-0
1.4%
2-1
1.9%
2-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
S3
3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.2%
3-3
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
S4
4-0
0.0%
4-1
0.0%
4-2
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(23.5%)
0-2(15.8%)
0-3(7.1%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
5%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
14%
Away Win & BTTS No
55%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
7%
Home Win & Under 2.5
16%
Draw & Over 2.5
2%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
21%
Away Win & Under 2.5
48%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Shamal
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Al Hilal
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Al Hazem0
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Al Hilal0
Neom SC2
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Al Hilal2
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Al Ahli SC0
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal5
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this AFC Champions League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 5 wins from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.23, sitting at roughly 23 in our model. The match gets going at 7:15 pm over at Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shamal vs Al Hilal?
Our selection is 2 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Shamal's current form?
Shamal have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal been performing recently?
Al Hilal have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game.
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