A
AB Argir
Home
W
L
L
W
L
4W 0D 6L
▼ Declining
VS
—
6:30 pm
—
Skansi Arena (Argir)
K
Klaksvik
Away
L
L
L
W
L
3W 2D 5L
→ Steady
AB Argir
30%
Draw
20%
Klaksvik
50%
H Fair Odds
3.33
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
75.8%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-23.8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
AB Argir
2
Draws
8
Klaksvik
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Klaksvik won 8 of 10 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
AB Argir
Metric
Klaksvik
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-0-6
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
A0
0-0
9.1%
0-1
10.0%
0-2
5.5%
0-3
2.0%
0-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
11.8%
1-1
13.0%
1-2
7.1%
1-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
A2
2-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
A3
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
2.0%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
1.1%
4-1
1.2%
4-2
0.7%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(10.0%)
1-2(7.1%)
0-2(5.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ K=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
AB Argir Win
3.33
30%
Draw
5
20%
Klaksvik Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
20%
Home Win & BTTS No
30%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
23%
Home Win & Under 2.5
28%
Draw & Over 2.5
6%
Draw & Under 2.5
7%
Away Win & Over 2.5
17%
Away Win & Under 2.5
20%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Klaksvik2
AB Argir1
AB Argir1
Klaksvik1
AB Argir1
Klaksvik2
Klaksvik4
AB Argir0
AB Argir1
Klaksvik1
Klaksvik2
AB Argir1
AB Argir0
Klaksvik2
Klaksvik4
AB Argir1
AB Argir0
Klaksvik2
Klaksvik6
AB Argir1
Recent Form
AB Argir
AB Argir3
Skala Itrottarfelag2
B36 Torshavn1
AB Argir0
AB Argir1
Streymur2
Toftir0
AB Argir1
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
AB Argir0
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
Klaksvik2
AB Argir1
AB Argir2
Vikingur3
Skala Itrottarfelag1
AB Argir0
Klaksvik
Klaksvik0
Lech Poznan5
Klaksvik0
HB Torshavn2
Lech Poznan1
Klaksvik0
Klaksvik2
B36 Torshavn0
Kauno Zalgiris1
Klaksvik0
Klaksvik0
Kauno Zalgiris0
Bissen1
Klaksvik2
Klaksvik2
Bissen1
NSI Runavik0
Klaksvik0
Klaksvik0
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
AB Argir (Home)
AB Argir3
Skala Itrottarfelag2
AB Argir1
Streymur2
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir2
Vikingur3
AB Argir1
B36 Torshavn4
AB Argir1
Klaksvik1
AB Argir2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
AB Argir2
Toftir0
AB Argir2
Sandur1
Klaksvik (Away)
Lech Poznan1
Klaksvik0
Kauno Zalgiris1
Klaksvik0
Bissen1
Klaksvik2
NSI Runavik0
Klaksvik0
NSI Runavik2
Klaksvik2
Vikingur2
Klaksvik2
Skala Itrottarfelag1
Klaksvik4
Toftir1
Klaksvik4
B36 Torshavn1
Klaksvik1
Toftir0
Klaksvik3
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Faroe Islands PL match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.32, sitting at roughly 30,20,50% in our model. The match gets going at 6:30 pm over at Skansi Arena (Argir).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AB Argir vs Klaksvik?
Our selection is 2 — Klaksvik to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is AB Argir's current form?
AB Argir have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Klaksvik been performing recently?
Klaksvik have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
AB Argir lead with 0 wins versus Klaksvik's 8, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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