LOST Tip LOST Al Ahli SC 1-0 Al Duhail
A

Al Ahli SC

Home
D W L L W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
A
Al Duhail
Away
L W W W L
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 13th April 2026
1
Backing Al Ahli SC to win
Al Ahli SC 50%
Draw 30%
Al Duhail 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 70.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Ahli SC to win
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Ahli SC vs Al Duhail Competition: AFC Champions League Date: Monday, 13th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Ahli SC to win) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 45% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Ahli SC
3
Draws
1
Al Duhail
5
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Ahli SC won 1 of the last 5 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Ahli SC
Metric
Al Duhail
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.6
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
A2
2-0 5.2%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 3.9%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
A3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
A4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.6%) 3-1(5.6%) 1-0(5.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Ahli SC Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Duhail Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Ahli SC
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.3
Al Duhail
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.09.25
ACL Elite (Group): Al-Duhail2
Al-Ahli Saudi FC2
30.04.21
Champions League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
18.04.21
Champions League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
Al-Duhail1
01.05.12
Champions League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Al-Duhail0
07.03.12
Champions League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC0
Recent Form
Al Ahli SC
08.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Fayha1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
D
04.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Damac FC0
W
18.03.26
King’s Cup (SF): Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
Al-Hilal2
L
13.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Qadsiah3
Al-Ahli Saudi FC2
L
06.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Al-Ittihad1
W
26.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Riyadh0
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
W
23.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC0
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
W
19.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC4
Al-Najma1
W
16.02.26
ACL Elite: Al-Ahli Saudi FC4
Shabab Al-Ahli3
W
13.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Shabab2
Al-Ahli Saudi FC5
W
Al Duhail
08.04.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Ahli Doha2
Al-Duhail1
L
04.04.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail3
Al-Gharafa2
W
17.03.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Shamal1
Al-Duhail3
W
12.03.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Sailiya0
Al-Duhail4
W
26.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Sadd3
L
21.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Arabi1
D
16.02.26
ACL Elite: Al Shorta3
Al-Duhail2
L
12.02.26
Emir Cup: Al-Duhail2
Al-Waab0
W
09.02.26
ACL Elite: Al-Duhail1
Al-Sharjah1
D
04.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Umm-Salal2
Al-Duhail1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming AFC Champions League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.41. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahli SC vs Al Duhail?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahli SC to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Al Ahli SC's current form?
Al Ahli SC have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Duhail been performing recently?
Al Duhail have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahli SC lead with 1 wins versus Al Duhail's 1, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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