A
Al Hilal
Home
W
W
W
W
W
8W 1D 1L
→ Steady
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
Kingdom Arena (Riyadh)
N
Neom SC
Away
W
L
L
W
W
7W 0D 3L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
81.3%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-7.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Hilal to win
1.23
Over 1.5 Goals85%
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Hilal vs Neom SC
Date: Monday, 7th September 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Al Hilal to win)
Odds: 1.23
Confidence: 74%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Al Hilal
0
Draws
0
Neom SC
2
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Al Hilal won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Hilal
Metric
Neom SC
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.8
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
7-0-3
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0
5.2%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
4.1%
0-3
1.7%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
A2
2-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
A3
3-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
A4
4-0
1.8%
4-1
2.3%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
A5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
0.8%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.5%)
1-0(8.9%)
2-0(7.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ N=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Home Win & BTTS No
34%
Draw & BTTS Yes
1%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Away Win & BTTS No
29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
26%
Home Win & Under 2.5
26%
Draw & Over 2.5
2%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
23%
Away Win & Under 2.5
23%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Al Hilal2
Neom SC0
Neom SC1
Al Hilal2
Recent Form
Al Hilal
Al Shabab0
Al Hilal2
Al Hilal3
Al Ahli SC0
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal5
Al Fayha0
Al Hilal3
Al Raed0
Al Hilal2
Al Hilal4
Al-Faisaly2
Al Hilal3
Al Ahli Doha3
Al Hilal0
MC Alger2
Al Hilal2
Mamelodi Sundowns0
Sturm Graz II1
Al Hilal2
Neom SC
Neom SC3
Al Khaleej0
Al Riyadh1
Neom SC0
Neom SC0
Al Qadsiah2
Al-Faisaly0
Neom SC2
Al-Faisaly1
Neom SC3
Neom SC2
Al Fayha1
Las Palmas0
Neom SC1
Neom SC4
Al Arabi1
Orlando Pirates0
Neom SC1
Granada CF2
Neom SC0
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Unknown League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.23, sitting at roughly 60% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at Kingdom Arena (Riyadh).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Hilal vs Neom SC?
Our selection is 1 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Neom SC been performing recently?
Neom SC have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Hilal lead with 2 wins versus Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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