WON Tip WON Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Hilal
A

Al Khaleej

Home
W W L D L
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
1-2
A
Al Hilal
Away
W W L W D
7W 2D 1L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 5th May 2026
2
Backing Al Hilal to win
Al Khaleej 20%
Draw 30%
Al Hilal 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Khaleej
0
Draws
9
Al Hilal
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Hilal won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Khaleej
Metric
Al Hilal
1.2
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.1
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
30%
70%
3.4
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 8.5%
0-3 6.2%
0-4 3.4%
0-5 1.5%
A1
1-0 4.0%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 7.2%
1-4 3.9%
1-5 1.7%
A2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 5.1%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 1.0%
A3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
A4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.8%) 0-2(8.5%) 0-1(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Khaleej Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Hilal Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Khaleej
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
Al Hilal
Overall
7.6
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.12.25SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Khaleej2
17.04.25SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Khaleej0
23.11.24SPL
Al Khaleej3
Al Hilal2
05.04.24SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal4
20.10.23SPL
Al Hilal1
Al Khaleej0
01.04.23SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Khaleej0
25.08.22SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Hilal2
16.02.17SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Khaleej0
20.10.16SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal6
02.04.16SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Hilal3
Recent Form
Al Khaleej
02.05.26SPL
Damac0
Al Khaleej2
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Khaleej3
Al Najma1
W
24.04.26SPL
Al Fateh1
Al Khaleej0
L
03.04.26SPL
Al Kholood2
Al Khaleej2
D
14.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Nassr5
L
06.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Hazem1
W
27.02.26SPL
Al Ittihad1
Al Khaleej0
L
24.02.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Kholood3
L
21.02.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Neom SC1
L
14.02.26SPL
Al Riyadh1
Al Khaleej1
D
Al Hilal
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Hilal1
Damac0
W
13.04.26CL
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
06.03.26SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
W
27.02.26SPL
Al Shabab3
Al Hilal5
W
24.02.26SPL
Al Taawon1
Al Hilal1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Saudi Professional League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.21. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal?
Our selection is 2 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Al Khaleej's current form?
Al Khaleej have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal been performing recently?
Al Hilal have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Khaleej lead with 1 wins versus Al Hilal's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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