A
Al Khalidiyah
Home
W
W
L
W
W
8W 1D 1L
▲ Improving
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
N/A
A
Aali Club
Away
D
L
W
W
L
4W 1D 5L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-2.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
Al Khalidiyah
0
Draws
0
Aali Club
3
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Al Khalidiyah won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Khalidiyah
Metric
Aali Club
2.9
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
0-2
2.6%
0-3
0.8%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
A1
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
5.0%
1-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
A2
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
A3
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
3-2
3.0%
3-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
3.1%
4-1
3.0%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
1.2%
5-1
1.1%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(11.0%)
2-0(10.4%)
2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
31%
Home Win & BTTS No
31%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
31%
Home Win & Under 2.5
31%
Draw & Over 2.5
4%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
15%
Away Win & Under 2.5
15%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Al Khalidiyah2
Aali Club0
Aali Club0
Al Khalidiyah3
Al Khalidiyah1
Aali Club0
Recent Form
Al Khalidiyah
Al-Najma2
Al Khalidiyah7
Al-Najma1
Al Khalidiyah3
Al Khalidiyah1
Al-Muharraq2
Al-Budaiya0
Al Khalidiyah1
Al Khalidiyah2
Al-Hidd1
Sitra1
Al Khalidiyah3
Al Khalidiyah3
Al Riffa (3-4)3
Al Khalidiyah2
Al Riffa1
Al-Muharraq0
Al Khalidiyah3
Bahrain SC1
Al Khalidiyah4
Aali Club
Aali Club1
Manama Club1
Al-Muharraq1
Aali Club0
Aali Club2
Al-Budaiya0
Al-Hidd0
Aali Club1
Aali Club0
Sitra2
Al Riffa1
Aali Club0
Aali Club2
Bahrain SC1
Malkia0
Aali Club1
Al Khalidiyah2
Aali Club0
Aali Club0
Al-Shabbab1
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Unknown League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.30, sitting at roughly 61% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Khalidiyah vs Aali Club?
Our selection is 1 — Al Khalidiyah to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Al Khalidiyah's current form?
Al Khalidiyah have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aali Club been performing recently?
Aali Club have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Khalidiyah lead with 3 wins versus Aali Club's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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