WON Tip WON Al Qadsiah 2-0 Al Hazem
A

Al Qadsiah

Home
W W W D D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
A
Al Hazem
Away
D L D W W
4W 3D 3L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 14th May 2026
1
Backing Al Qadsiah to win
Al Qadsiah 50%
Draw 30%
Al Hazem 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -32% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Qadsiah to win
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Thursday, 14th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Qadsiah to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Al Qadsiah
3
Draws
3
Al Hazem
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Qadsiah won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Qadsiah
Metric
Al Hazem
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(7.6%) 2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Qadsiah Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Hazem Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Qadsiah
Overall
6.9
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Al Hazem
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.01.26SPL
Al Hazem1
Al Qadsiah5
28.10.25KC
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hazem1
06.03.23DIV
Al Qadsiah1
Al Hazem1
10.10.22DIV
Al Hazem1
Al Qadsiah0
16.05.19SPL
Al Qadsiah2
Al Hazem2
18.10.18SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Qadsiah1
20.04.15DIV
Al Hazem0
Al Qadsiah2
12.12.14DIV
Al Qadsiah1
Al Hazem2
29.03.14DIV
Al Qadsiah1
Al Hazem1
06.12.13DIV
Al Hazem0
Al Qadsiah1
Recent Form
Al Qadsiah
09.05.26SPL
Al Fayha1
Al Qadsiah2
W
03.05.26SPL
Al Qadsiah3
Al Nassr1
W
29.04.26SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Qadsiah4
W
14.04.26SPL
Al Qadsiah2
Al Shabab2
D
09.04.26SPL
Damac1
Al Qadsiah1
D
05.04.26SPL
Al Ettifaq3
Al Qadsiah2
L
13.03.26SPL
Al Qadsiah3
Al Ahli SC2
W
07.03.26SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Qadsiah4
W
28.02.26SPL
Al Qadsiah1
Al Taawon1
D
23.02.26SPL
Al Qadsiah4
Al Ettifaq0
W
Al Hazem
09.05.26SPL
Al Najma2
Al Hazem2
D
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
L
28.04.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Hazem1
D
24.04.26SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Riyadh1
W
11.04.26SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Fayha0
W
03.04.26SPL
Al Ittihad1
Al Hazem0
L
12.03.26SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Kholood1
W
06.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Hazem1
L
27.02.26SPL
Al Hazem3
Al Ettifaq1
W
24.02.26SPL
Al Hazem1
Al Ittihad1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 14th May 2026, Al Qadsiah host Al Hazem in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Qadsiah to win as the standout selection.

Al Qadsiah arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Hazem are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Qadsiah, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Al Hazem's 3, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al qadsiah to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Saudi Professional League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.22. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem?
Our selection is 1 — Al Qadsiah to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Al Qadsiah's current form?
Al Qadsiah have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hazem been performing recently?
Al Hazem have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Qadsiah lead with 4 wins versus Al Hazem's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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