WON Tip WON Al Salmiya 2-1 Al Fahaleel
A

Al Salmiya

Home
D L D W W
5W 2D 3L → Steady
VS
2-1
5:05 pm
A
Al Fahaleel
Away
D L L L W
2W 2D 6L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 22nd June 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.22
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Salmiya vs Al Fahaleel Competition: Kuwait Premier League Date: Monday, 22nd June 2026 KO: 5:05 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 73% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Al Salmiya
7
Draws
0
Al Fahaleel
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Salmiya
Metric
Al Fahaleel
1.5
Goals For / Game
0
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
50%
20%
1.3
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 27.3%
0-1 15.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 20.4%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 3.1%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 4.2%
2-2 1.2%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 0.3%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(27.3%) 1-0(20.4%) 0-1(15.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Salmiya
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Al Fahaleel
Overall
2.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
07.05.25PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Salmiya1
08.02.25PL
Al-Fahaheel2
Al Salmiya2
21.09.24PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel2
27.05.24PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Salmiya1
02.05.24PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel0
07.03.24PL
Al-Fahaheel4
Al Salmiya1
06.12.23PL
Al Salmiya0
Al-Fahaheel0
20.05.23PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel1
Recent Form
Al Salmiya
19.06.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Kuwait3
D
16.06.26PL
Al Qadisiya3
Al Salmiya2
L
12.06.26PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Kuwait0
D
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
W
23.05.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Shabab0
W
15.05.26PL
Al Qadisiya2
Al Salmiya1
L
23.02.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
W
14.02.26EMI
Al Salmiya2
Al Sulaibikhat1
W
07.02.26PL
Al Jahra0
Al Salmiya1
W
28.01.26SC
Al Kuwait2
Al Salmiya0
L
Al Fahaleel
19.06.26PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Kazma SC1
D
16.06.26PL
Al Kuwait4
Al-Fahaheel0
L
13.06.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Al-Fahaheel0
L
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
L
24.05.26PL
Kazma SC2
Al-Fahaheel3
W
21.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Kuwait4
L
22.02.26PL
Al Naser4
Al-Fahaheel2
L
12.02.26EMI
Al-Fahaheel3
Al Shabab2
W
05.02.26PL
Al Shabab1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
23.01.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Qadisiya2
L
Al Salmiya (Home)
19.06.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Kuwait3
D
12.06.26PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Kuwait0
D
23.05.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Shabab0
W
23.02.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
W
14.02.26EMI
Al Salmiya2
Al Sulaibikhat1
W
23.01.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Tadamon1
W
14.01.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Naser1
D
06.01.26CRO
Al Salmiya1
Al Tadamon2
L
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
L
27.10.25PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Qadisiya0
D
Al Fahaleel (Away)
16.06.26PL
Al Kuwait4
Al-Fahaheel0
L
13.06.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Al-Fahaheel0
L
24.05.26PL
Kazma SC2
Al-Fahaheel3
W
22.02.26PL
Al Naser4
Al-Fahaheel2
L
05.02.26PL
Al Shabab1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
19.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Al-Fahaheel0
L
15.01.26PL
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
28.12.25PL
Al Kuwait5
Al-Fahaheel0
L
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
W
22.09.25PL
Al Qadisiya5
Al-Fahaheel1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 22nd June 2026, Al Salmiya host Al Fahaleel in Kuwait Premier League. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Al Salmiya arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Fahaleel are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Salmiya, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Al Fahaleel's 0, with 7 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Kuwait Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.22, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 5:05 pm over at the host venue.

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Salmiya vs Al Fahaleel?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Al Salmiya's current form?
Al Salmiya have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Fahaleel been performing recently?
Al Fahaleel have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Salmiya lead with 3 wins versus Al Fahaleel's 0, with 7 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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