WON Tip WON AS Roma 3-0 Pisa
A

AS Roma

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VS
3-0
P
Pisa
Away
L L W L L
1W 1D 8L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 10th April 2026
1
Backing AS Roma to win
AS Roma 50%
Draw 30%
Pisa 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 70.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — AS Roma to win
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
AS Roma vs Pisa Competition: Serie A Date: Friday, 10th April 2026 Pick: 1 (AS Roma to win) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 47% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
6
AS Roma
2
Draws
2
Pisa
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip AS Roma won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
AS Roma
Metric
Pisa
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.9
Goals Against / Game
2.4
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-3-4
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
30%
10%
3.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
A0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 6.8%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 3.7%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(7.3%) 3-1(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
AS Roma Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Pisa Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
AS Roma
Overall
3.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
3.7
Pisa
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.08.25
Serie A: Pisa SC0
AS Roma1
26.05.91
Serie A: Pisa SC0
AS Roma1
20.01.91
Serie A: AS Roma0
Pisa SC2
19.03.89
Serie A: Pisa SC1
AS Roma0
06.11.88
Serie A: AS Roma2
Pisa SC1
14.02.88
Serie A: Pisa SC1
AS Roma1
04.10.87
Serie A: AS Roma1
Pisa SC0
13.04.86
Serie A: Pisa SC2
AS Roma4
08.12.85
Serie A: AS Roma1
Pisa SC0
15.01.84
Serie A: Pisa SC1
AS Roma1
Recent Form
AS Roma
05.04.26
Serie A: Inter Milan5
AS Roma2
L
22.03.26
Serie A: AS Roma1
Lecce0
W
19.03.26
Europa League: AS Roma3
Bologna4
L
15.03.26
Serie A: Como2
AS Roma1
L
12.03.26
Europa League: Bologna1
AS Roma1
D
08.03.26
Serie A: Genoa2
AS Roma1
L
01.03.26
Serie A: AS Roma3
Juventus3
D
22.02.26
Serie A: AS Roma3
Cremonese0
W
15.02.26
Serie A: Napoli2
AS Roma2
D
09.02.26
Serie A: AS Roma2
Cagliari0
W
Pisa
05.04.26
Serie A: Pisa SC0
Torino1
L
22.03.26
Serie A: Como5
Pisa SC0
L
15.03.26
Serie A: Pisa SC3
Cagliari1
W
07.03.26
Serie A: Juventus4
Pisa SC0
L
02.03.26
Serie A: Pisa SC0
Bologna1
L
23.02.26
Serie A: Fiorentina1
Pisa SC0
L
13.02.26
Serie A: Pisa SC1
AC Milan2
L
06.02.26
Serie A: Hellas Verona0
Pisa SC0
D
31.01.26
Serie A: Pisa SC1
Sassuolo3
L
23.01.26
Serie A: Inter Milan6
Pisa SC2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 10th April 2026, AS Roma host Pisa in Serie A. We recommend AS Roma to win as the standout selection.

AS Roma arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pisa are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AS Roma, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Pisa's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: as roma to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Serie A match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.41. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AS Roma vs Pisa?
Our selection is 1 — AS Roma to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is AS Roma's current form?
AS Roma have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pisa been performing recently?
Pisa have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
AS Roma lead with 6 wins versus Pisa's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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