Weak Signal 37% Confidence
A

Asyut Petroleum

Home
L L W D D
3W 4D 3L → Steady
VS
R
Raya
Away
L L L L L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 30th April 2026
1
Backing Asyut Petroleum to win
Asyut Petroleum 50%
Draw 30%
Raya 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -36.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Asyut Petroleum
3
Draws
0
Raya
4
Meetings
1.8
Avg Goals
75%
BTTS
25%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Asyut Petroleum won 1 of the last 4 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Asyut Petroleum
Metric
Raya
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-4-3
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
30%
10%
2.3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
A0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.0%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 11.3%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.0%) 2-0(11.3%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Asyut Petroleum Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Raya Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Asyut Petroleum
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.3
Raya
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 26%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 28%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.12.25D2A
Raya1
Asyut Petroleum2
09.04.25D2A
Asyut Petroleum1
Raya1
02.12.24D2A
Raya0
Asyut Petroleum0
08.01.24D2A
Raya1
Asyut Petroleum1
Recent Form
Asyut Petroleum
23.04.26D2A
Tersana3
Asyut Petroleum1
L
17.04.26D2A
Asyut Petroleum0
La Viena1
L
09.04.26D2A
WE SC0
Asyut Petroleum3
W
02.04.26D2A
Asyut Petroleum2
Dayrout2
D
26.03.26D2A
Proxy1
Asyut Petroleum1
D
12.03.26D2A
Asyut Petroleum3
Aswan SC1
W
05.03.26D2A
Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat1
Asyut Petroleum1
D
26.02.26D2A
Asyut Petroleum4
El Daklyeh0
W
12.02.26D2A
Al Qanah1
Asyut Petroleum0
L
05.02.26D2A
Asyut Petroleum1
Masar1
D
Raya
23.04.26D2A
Raya1
El Mansoura2
L
17.04.26D2A
Baladiyat El Mahalla4
Raya0
L
10.04.26D2A
Tersana1
Raya0
L
03.04.26D2A
Raya0
La Viena2
L
27.03.26D2A
WE SC3
Raya1
L
13.03.26D2A
Raya0
Dayrout0
D
06.03.26D2A
Proxy1
Raya0
L
27.02.26D2A
Raya2
Aswan SC0
W
13.02.26D2A
Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat0
Raya0
D
05.02.26D2A
Raya1
El Daklyeh1
D
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 30th April 2026, Asyut Petroleum host Raya in Egypt Division 2 A. We recommend Asyut Petroleum to win as the standout selection.

Asyut Petroleum arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Raya are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Asyut Petroleum, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Raya's 0, with 3 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: asyut petroleum to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Egypt Division 2 A match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.36. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Asyut Petroleum vs Raya?
Our selection is 1 — Asyut Petroleum to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 37%.
What is Asyut Petroleum's current form?
Asyut Petroleum have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Raya been performing recently?
Raya have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Asyut Petroleum lead with 1 wins versus Raya's 0, with 3 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
⚠️
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