WON
Tip WON
Asyut Petroleum 0-1 Zamalek
A
Asyut Petroleum
Home
W
L
L
L
L
3W 3D 4L
▲ Improving
VS
0-1
3:00 pm
Asyut University Stadium (Asyut)
Z
Zamalek
Away
W
L
L
W
W
7W 1D 2L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
67.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+0.4%
Value detected
Kelly %
1.3%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Zamalek to win
1.48
Under 2.5 Goals65%
BTTS — No75%
Zamalek Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Asyut Petroleum vs Zamalek
Competition: Egypt Premier League
Date: Tuesday, 20th October 2026
KO: 3:00 pm
Pick: 2 (Zamalek to win)
Odds: 1.48
Confidence: 68%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: BTTS — No (75%)
Also: Zamalek Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Asyut Petroleum
2
Draws
3
Zamalek
6
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Zamalek won 3 of 6 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Asyut Petroleum
Metric
Zamalek
0.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
3-3-4
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
A0
0-0
13.5%
0-1
18.3%
0-2
12.3%
0-3
5.6%
0-4
1.9%
0-5
0.5%
A1
1-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
A2
2-0
2.9%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
A3
3-0
0.6%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
0.6%
3-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(18.3%)
0-2(12.3%)
1-2(8.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ Z=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Home Win & BTTS No
19%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
44%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
9%
Home Win & Under 2.5
16%
Draw & Over 2.5
6%
Draw & Under 2.5
11%
Away Win & Over 2.5
20%
Away Win & Under 2.5
38%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Zamalek4
Asyut Petroleum1
Asyut Petroleum0
Zamalek2
Zamalek0
Asyut Petroleum0
Asyut Petroleum2
Zamalek0
Asyut Petroleum3
Zamalek4
Zamalek1
Asyut Petroleum1
Recent Form
Asyut Petroleum
Abu Qir Semad1
Asyut Petroleum2
Asyut Petroleum0
Al Ahly5
Asyut Petroleum0
Modern Sport2
Al Ittihad1
Asyut Petroleum0
Asyut Petroleum0
National Bank Egypt1
Smouha0
Asyut Petroleum0
Asyut Petroleum1
Petrojet1
Asyut Petroleum1
Baladiyat El Mahalla0
El Mansoura1
Asyut Petroleum1
Asyut Petroleum1
Raya0
Zamalek
APR0
Zamalek1
Zamalek0
Al Ahly2
Zamalek0
ZED3
Ghazl El Mahallah0
Zamalek1
Zamalek4
Port0
Zamalek2
Abu Qir Semad0
Port1
Zamalek2
Zamalek2
Petrojet1
National Bank Egypt0
Zamalek3
Zamalek0
Al Ittihad0
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Egypt Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.48, sitting at roughly 23% in our model. The match gets going at 3:00 pm over at Asyut University Stadium (Asyut).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Asyut Petroleum vs Zamalek?
Our selection is 2 — Zamalek to win, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Asyut Petroleum's current form?
Asyut Petroleum have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zamalek been performing recently?
Zamalek have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Asyut Petroleum lead with 1 wins versus Zamalek's 3, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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