A
Atletico Madrid
Home
D
W
W
W
W
6W 1D 3L
▼ Declining
VS
—
8:00 pm
—
Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)
D
Deportivo La Coruna
Away
D
L
L
D
D
2W 5D 3L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
68%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Atletico Madrid to win
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals90%
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna
Competition: La Liga
Date: Saturday, 24th October 2026
KO: 8:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Atletico Madrid to win)
Odds: 1.47
Confidence: 62%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Atletico Madrid
3
Draws
0
Deportivo La Coruna
10
Meetings
1.6
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Atletico Madrid won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Atletico Madrid
Metric
Deportivo La Coruna
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
A0
0-0
5.2%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
4.1%
0-3
1.7%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
A2
2-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
A3
3-0
4.3%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
A4
4-0
1.8%
4-1
2.3%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
A5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
0.8%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.5%)
1-0(8.9%)
2-0(7.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ D=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
39%
Home Win & BTTS No
17%
Draw & BTTS Yes
19%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
13%
Away Win & BTTS No
5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
33%
Home Win & Under 2.5
22%
Draw & Over 2.5
16%
Draw & Under 2.5
11%
Away Win & Over 2.5
11%
Away Win & Under 2.5
7%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Dep. A Coruna0
Atl. Madrid1
Atl. Madrid1
Dep. A Coruna0
Dep. A Coruna0
Atl. Madrid1
Dep. A Coruna1
Atl. Madrid1
Atl. Madrid1
Dep. A Coruna0
Atl. Madrid3
Dep. A Coruna0
Dep. A Coruna1
Atl. Madrid1
Dep. A Coruna1
Atl. Madrid2
Atl. Madrid2
Dep. A Coruna0
Dep. A Coruna0
Atl. Madrid0
Recent Form
Atletico Madrid
Stuttgart1
Atl. Madrid1
Espanyol0
Atl. Madrid1
Atl. Madrid2
Manchester Utd0
Alaves1
Atl. Madrid2
Atl. Madrid2
Real Madrid1
Atl. Madrid4
Osasuna0
Real Sociedad0
Atl. Madrid3
Liverpool2
Atl. Madrid1
Ath Bilbao3
Atl. Madrid0
Sevilla1
Atl. Madrid3
Deportivo La Coruna
Dep. A Coruna1
Levante1
Real Sociedad3
Dep. A Coruna2
Dep. A Coruna1
FC Porto3
Penafiel2
Dep. A Coruna2
Dep. A Coruna1
Betis1
Dep. A Coruna0
Sevilla1
Getafe1
Dep. A Coruna1
Villarreal2
Dep. A Coruna3
Dep. A Coruna3
Valencia1
Malaga1
Dep. A Coruna1
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this La Liga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.47, sitting at roughly 58% in our model. The match gets going at 8:00 pm over at Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our selection is 1 — Atletico Madrid to win, priced at approximately 1.47. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Atletico Madrid's current form?
Atletico Madrid have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Deportivo La Coruna been performing recently?
Deportivo La Coruna have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Atletico Madrid lead with 7 wins versus Deportivo La Coruna's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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