A
Austria Vienna
Home
W
W
W
D
D
6W 3D 1L
▲ Improving
VS
—
7:30 pm
—
Generali Arena (Vienna)
F
FK Liepaja
Away
W
L
W
L
W
4W 0D 6L
▼ Declining
Austria Vienna
60%
Draw
20%
FK Liepaja
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
82%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-15%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Austria Vienna to win
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja
Competition: Conference League Qualifier
Date: Thursday, 30th July 2026
KO: 7:30 pm
Pick: 1 (Austria Vienna to win)
Odds: 1.22
Confidence: 67%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Austria Vienna
0
Draws
0
FK Liepaja
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Austria Vienna won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Austria Vienna
Metric
FK Liepaja
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
A0
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.3%
0-2
2.7%
0-3
0.8%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
A1
1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
4.7%
1-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
A2
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.0%
A3
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
0.9%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(13.0%)
2-0(11.4%)
2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ F=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Austria Vienna Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
FK Liepaja Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Home Win & BTTS No
36%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
21%
Home Win & Under 2.5
31%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
14%
Away Win & Under 2.5
21%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
Recent Form
Austria Vienna
Wiener Sport-Club0
Austria Vienna5
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
Austria Vienna4
Paks1
Austria Vienna1
Dun. Streda1
Austria Vienna1
Debrecen1
Parndorf0
Austria Vienna4
Austria Vienna0
LASK3
SK Rapid0
Austria Vienna2
Austria Vienna1
Hartberg0
Sturm Graz1
Austria Vienna1
FK Liepaja
Jelgava0
FK Liepaja2
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
Decic1
FK Liepaja2
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
FK Liepaja1
Decic0
BFC Daugavpils3
FK Liepaja1
FK Liepaja4
Ogre United0
FK Liepaja0
RFS2
Riga FC4
FK Liepaja0
Grobina1
FK Liepaja0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 30th July 2026, Austria Vienna host FK Liepaja at Generali Arena (Vienna) in Conference League Qualifier. We recommend Austria Vienna to win as the standout selection.
Austria Vienna arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
FK Liepaja are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Austria Vienna, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to FK Liepaja's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: austria vienna to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Conference League Qualifier match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.22, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 7:30 pm over at Generali Arena (Vienna).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja?
Our selection is 1 — Austria Vienna to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Austria Vienna's current form?
Austria Vienna have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Liepaja been performing recently?
FK Liepaja have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Austria Vienna lead with 1 wins versus FK Liepaja's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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