Strong Signal 65% Confidence
B

Babrungas

Home
W W D W W
7W 3D 0L → Steady
VS
4:00 pm
N/A
E
Ekranas
Away
L L L L L
7W 3D 0L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 25th July 2026
1
Backing Babrungas to win
Babrungas 60%
Draw 20%
Ekranas 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Babrungas to win
1.21
Under 2.5 Goals90% BTTS — No90% Babrungas Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Babrungas vs Ekranas Competition: Lithuania I Lyga Date: Saturday, 25th July 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Babrungas to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 65% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — No (90%) Also: Babrungas Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Babrungas
2
Draws
1
Ekranas
9
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
56%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Babrungas won 6 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Babrungas
Metric
Ekranas
1.5
Goals For / Game
0
0.2
Goals Against / Game
0
80%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-3-0
W — D — L
7-3-0
Win Rate
70%
70%
0.9
Avg Goals
25%
Over 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
10%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
B0
0-0 38.7%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 0.8%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 29.0%
1-1 5.8%
1-2 0.6%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 2.2%
2-2 0.2%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 2.7%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(29.0%) 2-0(10.9%) 3-0(2.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   E=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Babrungas Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Ekranas Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Babrungas
Overall
7.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
9.3
Ekranas
Overall
7.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 4%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 37%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26IL
Ekranas0
Babrungas3
26.09.25IL
Ekranas0
Babrungas2
23.05.25IL
Babrungas5
Ekranas1
09.09.24IL
Ekranas0
Babrungas4
05.04.24IL
Babrungas2
Ekranas2
18.08.23IL
Babrungas3
Ekranas1
01.04.23IL
Ekranas1
Babrungas1
17.10.22IL
Ekranas0
Babrungas2
10.06.22IL
Babrungas2
Ekranas3
Recent Form
Babrungas
19.07.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Babrungas2
W
27.06.26IL
Siauliai 20
Babrungas1
W
24.06.26IL
Babrungas0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
D
19.06.26IL
Babrungas1
BE1 NFA0
W
12.06.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 20
Babrungas1
W
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
W
22.05.26IL
Jonava1
Babrungas1
D
15.05.26IL
Babrungas3
Zalgiris 20
W
09.05.26IL
Atmosfera1
Babrungas1
D
01.05.26IL
Babrungas4
BFA Vilnius0
W
Ekranas
19.07.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Babrungas2
W
27.06.26IL
Siauliai 20
Babrungas1
W
24.06.26IL
Babrungas0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
D
19.06.26IL
Babrungas1
BE1 NFA0
W
12.06.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 20
Babrungas1
W
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
W
22.05.26IL
Jonava1
Babrungas1
D
15.05.26IL
Babrungas3
Zalgiris 20
W
09.05.26IL
Atmosfera1
Babrungas1
D
01.05.26IL
Babrungas4
BFA Vilnius0
W
Babrungas (Home)
24.06.26IL
Babrungas0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
D
19.06.26IL
Babrungas1
BE1 NFA0
W
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
W
15.05.26IL
Babrungas3
Zalgiris 20
W
01.05.26IL
Babrungas4
BFA Vilnius0
W
24.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Garliava0
W
04.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Neptunas0
W
22.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Dainava Alytus1
W
18.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Transinvest 20
W
09.11.25IL
Babrungas1
Siauliai 25
L
Ekranas (Away)
02.07.26IL
BFA Vilnius3
Ekranas0
L
20.06.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Ekranas1
L
29.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus2
Ekranas0
L
17.05.26IL
Siauliai 22
Ekranas2
D
02.05.26IL
Garliava3
Ekranas1
L
24.04.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Ekranas1
L
04.04.26IL
FK Minija2
Ekranas1
L
17.03.26IL
Zalgiris 21
Ekranas0
L
09.11.25IL
Jonava0
Ekranas2
W
24.10.25IL
Nevezis Kedainiai0
Ekranas2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 25th July 2026, Babrungas host Ekranas at N/A in Lithuania I Lyga. We recommend Babrungas to win as the standout selection.

Babrungas arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ekranas are travelling well, with a record of 7W 3D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Babrungas, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Ekranas's 1, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 56% of those meetings.

Our verdict: babrungas to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Lithuania I Lyga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 5 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.21, sitting at roughly 60,20,20% in our model. The match gets going at 4:00 pm over at N/A.

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Babrungas vs Ekranas?
Our selection is 1 — Babrungas to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Babrungas's current form?
Babrungas have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ekranas been performing recently?
Ekranas have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Babrungas lead with 6 wins versus Ekranas's 1, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
⚠️
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