B
BE1 NFA
Home
W
W
W
W
W
7W 0D 3L
▲ Improving
VS
—
3:30 pm
—
N/A
T
Transinvest 2
Away
W
L
L
L
W
2W 1D 7L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
73.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-5.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — BE1 NFA to win
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
BE1 NFA vs Transinvest 2
Competition: Lithuania I Lyga
Date: Friday, 18th September 2026
KO: 3:30 pm
Pick: 1 (BE1 NFA to win)
Odds: 1.36
Confidence: 68%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
BE1 NFA
0
Draws
0
Transinvest 2
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
BE1 NFA won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
BE1 NFA
Metric
Transinvest 2
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-0-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
B0
0-0
4.5%
0-1
5.6%
0-2
3.5%
0-3
1.5%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
B1
1-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
B2
2-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
6.0%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
B3
3-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
3.7%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
B4
4-0
2.2%
4-1
2.8%
4-2
1.7%
4-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
B5
5-0
0.8%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.6%)
1-0(8.3%)
2-0(7.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
B=Home goals ↓ T=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
33%
Home Win & BTTS No
41%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
44%
Home Win & Under 2.5
30%
Draw & Over 2.5
3%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
13%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Transinvest 20
BE1 NFA2
Recent Form
BE1 NFA
Siauliai 20
BE1 NFA2
BE1 NFA1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Ekranas0
BE1 NFA5
BE1 NFA2
Garliava0
BE1 NFA2
Hegelmann Litauen 21
FK Minija3
BE1 NFA0
BE1 NFA0
Jonava2
BFA Vilnius3
BE1 NFA1
Atmosfera0
BE1 NFA1
BE1 NFA2
Zalgiris 21
Transinvest 2
Transinvest 24
Hegelmann Litauen 21
FK Minija3
Transinvest 20
Transinvest 21
Jonava2
Zalgiris 24
Transinvest 23
Transinvest 22
Atmosfera0
BFA Vilnius4
Transinvest 22
Transinvest 20
Babrungas1
Dainava Alytus3
Transinvest 21
Transinvest 22
Neptunas2
Transinvest 20
Tauras Taurage1
BE1 NFA (Home)
BE1 NFA1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA2
Garliava0
BE1 NFA2
Hegelmann Litauen 21
BE1 NFA0
Jonava2
BE1 NFA2
Zalgiris 21
BE1 NFA1
Tauras Taurage0
BE1 NFA5
Siauliai 22
BE1 NFA2
Ekranas1
BE1 NFA2
FK Minija3
BE1 NFA3
BFA Vilnius1
Transinvest 2 (Away)
FK Minija3
Transinvest 20
Zalgiris 24
Transinvest 23
BFA Vilnius4
Transinvest 22
Dainava Alytus3
Transinvest 21
Garliava3
Transinvest 20
Siauliai 21
Transinvest 22
Neptunas3
Transinvest 20
Ekranas4
Transinvest 20
Hegelmann Litauen 21
Transinvest 22
Jonava4
Transinvest 20
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Lithuania I Lyga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.36, sitting at roughly around 6 in 10 in our model. The match gets going at 3:30 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for BE1 NFA vs Transinvest 2?
Our selection is 1 — BE1 NFA to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is BE1 NFA's current form?
BE1 NFA have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Transinvest 2 been performing recently?
Transinvest 2 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
BE1 NFA lead with 1 wins versus Transinvest 2's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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