Moderate Signal 53% Confidence
B

Bentleigh Greens

Home
L W L L L
1W 2D 7L → Steady
VS
10:30 am
Kingston Heath Soccer Complex
O
Oakleigh Cannons
Away
L W W D W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 31st July 2026
2
Backing Oakleigh Cannons to win
Bentleigh Greens 20%
Draw 30%
Oakleigh Cannons 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Bentleigh Greens
0
Draws
5
Oakleigh Cannons
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Oakleigh Cannons won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bentleigh Greens
Metric
Oakleigh Cannons
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.4
Goals Against / Game
0.7
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
1-2-7
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
10%
60%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
B0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 13.8%
0-2 13.4%
0-3 8.7%
0-4 4.3%
0-5 1.7%
B1
1-0 5.0%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 6.1%
1-4 3.0%
1-5 1.2%
B2
2-0 1.7%
2-1 3.4%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.4%
B3
3-0 0.4%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(13.8%) 0-2(13.4%) 1-2(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bentleigh Greens Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Oakleigh Cannons Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Bentleigh Greens
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
2.0
Oakleigh Cannons
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.04.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons4
Bentleigh Greens0
08.07.23VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Oakleigh Cannons3
10.04.23VIC
Oakleigh Cannons3
Bentleigh Greens0
25.07.22VIC
Bentleigh Greens3
Oakleigh Cannons2
25.04.22VIC
Oakleigh Cannons1
Bentleigh Greens0
16.04.21VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Oakleigh Cannons0
05.07.19VIC
Oakleigh Cannons3
Bentleigh Greens0
29.03.19VIC
Bentleigh Greens3
Oakleigh Cannons2
08.06.18VIC
Bentleigh Greens3
Oakleigh Cannons0
02.03.18VIC
Oakleigh Cannons0
Bentleigh Greens1
Recent Form
Bentleigh Greens
24.07.26VIC
Preston Lions1
Bentleigh Greens0
L
17.07.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Dandenong City1
W
11.07.26VIC
Dandenong Thunder2
Bentleigh Greens1
L
03.07.26VIC
Green Gully3
Bentleigh Greens0
L
26.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Altona Magic1
L
19.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
South Melbourne5
L
05.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Hume City5
L
30.05.26VIC
Avondale FC4
Bentleigh Greens0
L
22.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
George Cross0
D
15.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Heidelberg Utd2
D
Oakleigh Cannons
24.07.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons1
South Melbourne2
L
18.07.26VIC
Hume City0
Oakleigh Cannons1
W
10.07.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons2
Avondale FC0
W
04.07.26VIC
George Cross1
Oakleigh Cannons1
D
26.06.26VIC
Heidelberg Utd0
Oakleigh Cannons1
W
19.06.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons3
Melbourne City U211
W
05.06.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons2
St Albans2
D
30.05.26VIC
Altona Magic0
Oakleigh Cannons2
W
24.05.26VIC
Preston Lions0
Oakleigh Cannons1
W
15.05.26VIC
Dandenong City1
Oakleigh Cannons1
D
Bentleigh Greens (Home)
17.07.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Dandenong City1
W
26.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Altona Magic1
L
19.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
South Melbourne5
L
05.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Hume City5
L
22.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
George Cross0
D
15.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Heidelberg Utd2
D
08.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Melbourne City U217
L
01.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
St Albans4
L
17.04.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Preston Lions1
D
27.03.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Dandenong Thunder1
W
Oakleigh Cannons (Away)
18.07.26VIC
Hume City0
Oakleigh Cannons1
W
04.07.26VIC
George Cross1
Oakleigh Cannons1
D
26.06.26VIC
Heidelberg Utd0
Oakleigh Cannons1
W
30.05.26VIC
Altona Magic0
Oakleigh Cannons2
W
24.05.26VIC
Preston Lions0
Oakleigh Cannons1
W
15.05.26VIC
Dandenong City1
Oakleigh Cannons1
D
01.05.26VIC
Green Gully0
Oakleigh Cannons5
W
19.04.26VIC
South Melbourne0
Oakleigh Cannons3
W
28.03.26VIC
Avondale FC1
Oakleigh Cannons1
D
08.03.26VIC
Melbourne City U211
Oakleigh Cannons1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Bentleigh Greens host Oakleigh Cannons at Kingston Heath Soccer Complex in Australia NPL Victoria. We recommend Oakleigh Cannons to win as the standout selection.

Bentleigh Greens arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Oakleigh Cannons are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bentleigh Greens, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Oakleigh Cannons's 5, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: oakleigh cannons to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Australia NPL Victoria match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.31, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 10:30 am over at Kingston Heath Soccer Complex.

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons?
Our selection is 2 — Oakleigh Cannons to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Bentleigh Greens's current form?
Bentleigh Greens have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Oakleigh Cannons been performing recently?
Oakleigh Cannons have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bentleigh Greens lead with 5 wins versus Oakleigh Cannons's 5, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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