WON Tip WON Birmingham W 1-0 Sunderland W
B

Birmingham W

Home
W W L W W
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
S
Sunderland W
Away
D W D L D
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 1st April 2026
1
Backing Birmingham W to win
Birmingham W 50%
Draw 30%
Sunderland W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Birmingham W
2
Draws
1
Sunderland W
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Birmingham W won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Birmingham W
Metric
Sunderland W
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
B0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 12.1%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.1%) 2-0(9.4%) 2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Birmingham W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sunderland W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Birmingham W
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.0
Sunderland W
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.09.25
WSL2: Sunderland W1
Birmingham City1
02.02.25
WSL2: Sunderland W0
Birmingham City1
08.09.24
WSL2: Birmingham City W5
Sunderland0
17.12.23
WSL2: Sunderland W0
Birmingham City3
08.10.23
WSL2: Birmingham City W1
Sunderland1
22.01.23
WSL2: Birmingham City W1
Sunderland3
27.08.22
WSL2: Sunderland W0
Birmingham City4
30.01.22
FAC: Birmingham City W2
Sunderland1
16.02.20
FAC: Sunderland W0
Birmingham City1
01.04.18
WSL: Birmingham City W2
Sunderland0
Recent Form
Birmingham W
14.09.25
WSL2: Sunderland W1
Birmingham City1
W
02.02.25
WSL2: Sunderland W0
Birmingham City1
W
08.09.24
WSL2: Birmingham City W5
Sunderland0
W
17.12.23
WSL2: Sunderland W0
Birmingham City3
W
08.10.23
WSL2: Birmingham City W1
Sunderland1
W
22.01.23
WSL2: Birmingham City W1
Sunderland3
W
27.08.22
WSL2: Sunderland W0
Birmingham City4
W
30.01.22
FAC: Birmingham City W2
Sunderland1
W
16.02.20
FAC: Sunderland W0
Birmingham City1
W
06.01.18
WSL: Sunderland W3
Birmingham City0
W
Sunderland W
29.03.26
WSL2: Sunderland W1
Newcastle Utd W1
D
22.03.26
WSL2: Portsmouth W0
Sunderland W1
W
18.03.26
WSL2: Sunderland W2
Sheffield Utd W2
D
15.03.26
WSL2: Charlton W1
Sunderland W0
L
11.03.26
WSL2: Sunderland W1
Nottingham W1
D
20.02.26
WSL2: Durham W2
Sunderland W3
W
31.01.26
WSL2: Bristol City W3
Sunderland W0
L
25.01.26
WSL2: Sunderland W1
Southampton W0
W
17.01.26
FAC: Sunderland W0
London City Lionesses W1
L
21.12.25
WSL2: Sunderland W2
Ipswich W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 1st April 2026, Birmingham W host Sunderland W in WSL 2. We recommend Birmingham W to win as the standout selection.

Birmingham W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sunderland W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Birmingham W, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Sunderland W's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: birmingham w to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming WSL 2 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.24. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Birmingham W vs Sunderland W?
Our selection is 1 — Birmingham W to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Birmingham W's current form?
Birmingham W have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sunderland W been performing recently?
Sunderland W have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Birmingham W lead with 7 wins versus Sunderland W's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.