WON Tip WON Borneo 3-0 Semen Padang
B

Borneo

Home
W W W D W
7W 2D 1L → Steady
VS
3-0
S
Semen Padang
Away
L L L W D
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 25th April 2026
1
Backing Borneo to win
Borneo 50%
Draw 30%
Semen Padang 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Borneo to win
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Borneo vs Semen Padang Competition: Indonesia Super League Date: Saturday, 25th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Borneo to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Borneo
3
Draws
2
Semen Padang
9
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
56%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral Borneo won 4 of the last 9 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Borneo
Metric
Semen Padang
2.6
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
70%
20%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
B0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 11.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 3.9%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(11.0%) 1-0(10.7%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Borneo Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Semen Padang Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Borneo
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Semen Padang
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.11.25SL
Semen Padang0
Borneo2
14.01.25SL
Borneo1
Semen Padang3
12.08.24SL
Semen Padang1
Borneo3
17.12.19SL
Semen Padang1
Borneo1
24.08.19SL
Borneo1
Semen Padang0
31.08.17SL
Semen Padang1
Borneo1
08.05.17SL
Borneo1
Semen Padang0
11.11.16SL
Semen Padang2
Borneo1
20.07.16SL
Borneo0
Semen Padang0
Recent Form
Borneo
18.04.26SL
PSM Makassar1
Borneo2
W
11.04.26SL
Borneo5
PSBS Biak Numfor1
W
05.04.26SL
Madura United1
Borneo3
W
15.03.26SL
Borneo1
Persib Bandung1
D
07.03.26SL
Borneo5
Persebaya1
W
03.03.26SL
Persija Jakarta2
Borneo2
D
26.02.26SL
Borneo3
Arema FC1
W
22.02.26SL
Dewena United2
Borneo1
L
07.02.26SL
FC Bhayangkara1
Borneo2
W
01.02.26SL
Borneo2
PSIM Yogyakarta1
W
Semen Padang
20.04.26SL
Semen Padang0
Persijap Jepara2
L
12.04.26SL
Persis Solo2
Semen Padang1
L
05.04.26SL
Semen Padang0
Persib Bandung2
L
09.03.26SL
PSBS Biak Numfor0
Semen Padang2
W
04.03.26SL
Semen Padang0
PSIM Yogyakarta0
D
24.02.26SL
FC Bhayangkara4
Semen Padang0
L
20.02.26SL
Semen Padang2
Malut United2
D
15.02.26SL
Arema FC3
Semen Padang0
L
08.02.26SL
Semen Padang1
Persita0
W
02.02.26SL
PSM Makassar0
Semen Padang0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 25th April 2026, Borneo host Semen Padang in Indonesia Super League. We recommend Borneo to win as the standout selection.

Borneo arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Semen Padang are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Borneo, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Semen Padang's 2, with 3 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 56% of those meetings.

Our verdict: borneo to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Indonesia Super League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.27. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Borneo vs Semen Padang?
Our selection is 1 — Borneo to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Borneo's current form?
Borneo have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Semen Padang been performing recently?
Semen Padang have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Borneo lead with 4 wins versus Semen Padang's 2, with 3 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
⚠️
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