Weak Signal 38% Confidence
C

Capivariano U20

Home
W D D L D
2W 7D 1L โ–ผ Declining
VS
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7:00 pm
โ€”
N/A
P
Porto Football U20
Away
L L L L L
1W 2D 7L โ–ฒ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Friday, 31st July 2026
1
Backing Capivariano U20 to win
Capivariano U20 50%
Draw 30%
Porto Football U20 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -37.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Capivariano U20
Metric
Porto Football U20
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
2-7-1
W โ€” D โ€” L
1-2-7
Win Rate
20%
10%
2.3
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
C0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 14.0%
1-1 12.6%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 9.8%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.0%) 2-0(9.8%) 2-1(8.8%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip C=Home goals โ†“   P=Away โ†’
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Capivariano U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Porto Football U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Capivariano U20
Overall
4.1 โ€”
Scoring
4.7 โ€”
Defence
5.7 โ€”
Porto Football U20
Overall
1.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
1.7 โ–ฒ
Defence
5.3 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 27%
Draw & BTTS No 33%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 27%
Draw & Under 2.5 33%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Capivariano U20
17.07.26PAU
Capivariano U202
Referencia U200
W
11.07.26PAU
Palmeiras U202
Capivariano U202
D
03.07.26PAU
Capivariano U202
Ituano U202
D
28.06.26PAU
RB Bragantino U203
Capivariano U201
L
12.06.26PAU
XV de Jau U200
Capivariano U200
D
05.06.26PAU
Capivariano U202
Sfera U201
W
29.05.26PAU
Osasco Audax U200
Capivariano U200
D
09.01.26CPH
Capivariano U203
Rio Branco ES U203
D
06.01.26CPH
Flamengo SP U200
Capivariano U200
D
03.01.26CPH
Vitoria U202
Capivariano U202
D
Porto Football U20
26.07.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Referencia U201
L
18.07.26PAU
RB Bragantino U203
Porto Football U201
L
12.07.26PAU
Agua Santa U201
Porto Football U200
L
05.07.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Palmeiras U201
L
26.06.26PAU
Osasco Audax U201
Porto Football U200
L
14.06.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Sfera U201
L
06.06.26PAU
Porto Football U200
Tanabi U200
D
29.05.26PAU
Guarani U204
Porto Football U200
L
14.06.24PAU
Ponte Preta U201
Porto Football U201
D
07.06.24PAU
Porto Football U203
Guacuano U201
W
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Capivariano U20 host Porto Football U20 at N/A in Brazil Paulista U20. We recommend Capivariano U20 to win as the standout selection.

Capivariano U20 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Porto Football U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: capivariano u20 to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Brazil Paulista U20 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 5 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.33, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at N/A.

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ€” but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Capivariano U20 vs Porto Football U20?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Capivariano U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 38%.
What is Capivariano U20's current form?
Capivariano U20 have won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Porto Football U20 been performing recently?
Porto Football U20 have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game.
โš ๏ธ
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