C
CSR Espanol
Home
W
W
W
D
L
6W 2D 2L
โฒ Improving
VS
โ
7:00 pm
โ
N/A
M
Mercedes
Away
W
L
D
D
W
2W 5D 3L
โผ Declining
Implied Prob
88.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-8.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X โ CSR Espanol to win or draw
1.13
Under 2.5 Goals75%
BTTS โ No65%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
CSR Espanol vs Mercedes
Competition: Argentina Primera C
Date: Monday, 6th July 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 1X (CSR Espanol to win or draw)
Odds: 1.13
Confidence: 80%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: BTTS โ No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
3
CSR Espanol
2
Draws
3
Mercedes
8
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
38%
BTTS
25%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Insufficient H2H data.
Stats Duel
Comparison
CSR Espanol
Metric
Mercedes
1.6
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.6
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W โ D โ L
2-5-3
Win Rate
2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
C0
0-0
13.5%
0-1
12.2%
0-2
5.5%
0-3
1.6%
0-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
C1
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.4%
1-2
6.0%
1-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
C2
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
C3
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
C4
4-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
4-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(14.9%)
0-0(13.5%)
1-1(13.4%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals โ M=Away โ
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Home Win & BTTS No
34%
Draw & BTTS Yes
11%
Draw & BTTS No
20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
13%
Home Win & Under 2.5
39%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
23%
Away Win & Over 2.5
5%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Mercedes1
CSR Espanol0
Mercedes1
CSR Espanol0
CSR Espanol2
Mercedes1
Mercedes0
CSR Espanol2
CSR Espanol1
Mercedes4
CSR Espanol1
Mercedes1
Mercedes0
CSR Espanol0
CSR Espanol2
Mercedes0
Recent Form
CSR Espanol
Deportivo Paraguayo0
CSR Espanol2
Puerto Nuevo0
CSR Espanol2
CSR Espanol3
Leandro N. Alem0
Def. de Cambaceres1
CSR Espanol1
CSR Espanol2
Juventud Unida S. M.3
CSR Espanol1
Fenix0
Sacachispas1
CSR Espanol1
CSR Espanol3
Argentino de Rosario2
Estrella Del Sur1
CSR Espanol0
Central Cordoba0
CSR Espanol1
Mercedes
Mercedes5
Justo Jose de Urquiza0
Lugano1
Mercedes0
Mercedes0
Deportivo Paraguayo0
Puerto Nuevo1
Mercedes1
Mercedes2
Leandro N. Alem0
Deportivo Espanol1
Mercedes0
Def. de Cambaceres2
Mercedes1
Mercedes1
Juventud Unida S. M.1
Sacachispas0
Mercedes0
Mercedes0
Claypole0
CSR Espanol (Home)
CSR Espanol3
Leandro N. Alem0
CSR Espanol2
Juventud Unida S. M.3
CSR Espanol1
Fenix0
CSR Espanol3
Argentino de Rosario2
CSR Espanol0
Berazategui0
CSR Espanol1
Lugano3
CSR Espanol0
Justo Jose de Urquiza0
CSR Espanol5
Deportivo Paraguayo1
CSR Espanol1
Claypole1
CSR Espanol4
Yupanqui2
Mercedes (Away)
Lugano1
Mercedes0
Puerto Nuevo1
Mercedes1
Deportivo Espanol1
Mercedes0
Def. de Cambaceres2
Mercedes1
Sacachispas0
Mercedes0
Estrella Del Sur0
Mercedes0
El Porvenir1
Mercedes1
Victoriano A.1
Mercedes0
Justo Jose de Urquiza0
Mercedes2
Deportivo Espanol2
Mercedes1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Monday, 6th July 2026, CSR Espanol host Mercedes at N/A in Argentina Primera C. We recommend CSR Espanol to win or draw as the standout selection.
CSR Espanol arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Mercedes are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 5D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour CSR Espanol, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Mercedes's 3, with 2 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 38% of those meetings.
Our verdict: csr espanol to win or draw at odds of 1.13 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Argentina Primera C match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1X at @1.13, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for CSR Espanol vs Mercedes?
Our selection is 1X โ CSR Espanol to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is CSR Espanol's current form?
CSR Espanol have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mercedes been performing recently?
Mercedes have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
CSR Espanol lead with 3 wins versus Mercedes's 3, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 38%.
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