WON Tip WON Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 Riteriai
D

Dziugas Telsiai

Home
D W L W L
6W 2D 2L → Steady
VS
1-0
R
Riteriai
Away
L L W L D
1W 3D 6L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 9th May 2026
1
Backing Dziugas Telsiai to win
Dziugas Telsiai 50%
Draw 30%
Riteriai 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -31% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dziugas Telsiai to win
1.19
BTTS — No80% Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai Competition: Lithuania TopLyga Date: Saturday, 9th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Dziugas Telsiai to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 53% Also: BTTS — No (80%) Also: Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Dziugas Telsiai
5
Draws
0
Riteriai
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Neutral Dziugas Telsiai won 5 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Dziugas Telsiai
Metric
Riteriai
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.3
0.8
Goals Against / Game
2.3
70%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.4
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
D0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 16.8%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 2.5%
1-3 0.5%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
D2
2-0 15.5%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
D3
3-0 9.6%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 4.4%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.8%) 2-0(15.5%) 3-0(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dziugas Telsiai Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Riteriai Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dziugas Telsiai
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
Riteriai
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.0
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.03.26TL
Riteriai0
Dziugas Telsiai2
02.11.25TL
Dziugas Telsiai4
Riteriai1
22.08.25TL
Riteriai0
Dziugas Telsiai2
25.06.25TL
Dziugas Telsiai2
Riteriai1
19.04.25TL
Riteriai0
Dziugas Telsiai1
01.02.25CF
Riteriai1
Dziugas Telsiai1
30.09.23TL
Riteriai0
Dziugas Telsiai0
23.07.23TL
Dziugas Telsiai2
Riteriai2
21.05.23TL
Riteriai1
Dziugas Telsiai1
01.04.23TL
Dziugas Telsiai1
Riteriai1
Recent Form
Dziugas Telsiai
05.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris2
Dziugas Telsiai2
D
01.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai3
Hegelmann0
W
26.04.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai0
Zalgiris3
L
22.04.26CUP
Neptunas0
Dziugas Telsiai2
W
19.04.26TL
Suduva3
Dziugas Telsiai2
L
12.04.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai1
FA Siauliai0
W
05.04.26TL
FK Panevezys0
Dziugas Telsiai1
W
22.03.26TL
Transinvest0
Dziugas Telsiai0
D
15.03.26TL
Banga0
Dziugas Telsiai1
W
11.03.26TL
Riteriai0
Dziugas Telsiai2
W
Riteriai
05.05.26TL
Riteriai0
Banga4
L
02.05.26TL
Riteriai0
Transinvest5
L
28.04.26CUP
Vilnius FA0
Riteriai1
W
25.04.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris4
Riteriai0
L
17.04.26TL
Hegelmann0
Riteriai0
D
10.04.26TL
Riteriai0
Zalgiris0
D
03.04.26TL
Suduva5
Riteriai0
L
20.03.26TL
Riteriai1
FA Siauliai1
D
15.03.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Riteriai1
L
11.03.26TL
Riteriai0
Dziugas Telsiai2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 9th May 2026, Dziugas Telsiai host Riteriai in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend Dziugas Telsiai to win as the standout selection.

Dziugas Telsiai arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Riteriai are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dziugas Telsiai, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Riteriai's 0, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dziugas telsiai to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Lithuania TopLyga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.19. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai?
Our selection is 1 — Dziugas Telsiai to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Dziugas Telsiai's current form?
Dziugas Telsiai have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Riteriai been performing recently?
Riteriai have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dziugas Telsiai lead with 5 wins versus Riteriai's 0, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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