WON
Tip WON
Esperance Tunis 1-0 AS Marsa
E
Esperance Tunis
Home
W
D
W
W
W
3W 1D 1L
→ Steady
VS
1-0
A
AS Marsa
Away
L
W
L
L
W
2W 0D 3L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
84%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-19%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Esperance Tunis to win
1.19
BTTS — No80%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa
Competition: Tunisian League
Date: Saturday, 7th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Esperance Tunis to win)
Odds: 1.19
Confidence: 65%
Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Also: Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Esperance Tunis
1
Draws
0
AS Marsa
5
Meetings
1.4
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Esperance Tunis won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Esperance Tunis
Metric
AS Marsa
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-1-1
W — D — L
2-0-3
Win Rate
2.2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
E0
0-0
11.1%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
2.0%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
E1
1-0
17.7%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
3.2%
1-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
E2
2-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
E3
3-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
E4
4-0
3.0%
4-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
E5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(17.7%)
2-0(14.2%)
2-1(8.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
E=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Home Win & BTTS No
44%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Away Win & BTTS No
29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
22%
Home Win & Under 2.5
33%
Draw & Over 2.5
4%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
14%
Away Win & Under 2.5
22%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ LP1 (Oct 1, 2025): AS Marsa0
Esperance Tunis3
⚽ LP1 (Dec 5, 2023): AS Marsa0
Esperance Tunis1
⚽ LP1 (Aug 19, 2023): Esperance Tunis1
AS Marsa0
⚽ CUP (Mar 15, 2020): AS Marsa0
Esperance Tunis2
⚽ LP1 (Dec 10, 2016): Esperance Tunis0
AS Marsa0
Recent Form
Esperance Tunis
⚽ LP1 (Mar 1, 2026): Olympique Beja0
Esperance Tunis3
⚽ LP1 (Feb 25, 2026): Metlaoui1
Esperance Tunis1
⚽ LP1 (Feb 21, 2026): Esperance Tunis1
Stade Tunisien0
⚽ LP1 (Feb 17, 2026): Soliman0
Esperance Tunis3
⚽ CL (Feb 14, 2026): Esperance Tunis2
Petro Atletico0
AS Marsa
⚽ LP1 (Feb 28, 2026): AS Marsa0
Stade Tunisien4
⚽ LP1 (Feb 14, 2026): Soliman0
AS Marsa2
⚽ LP1 (Feb 7, 2026): AS Marsa1
JS Kairouan2
⚽ LP1 (Feb 1, 2026): Monastir1
AS Marsa0
⚽ LP1 (Jan 28, 2026): AS Marsa1
AS Gabes0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 7th March 2026, Esperance Tunis host AS Marsa in Tunisian League. We recommend Esperance Tunis to win as the standout selection.
Esperance Tunis arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.
AS Marsa are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 0D 3L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Esperance Tunis, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to AS Marsa's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: esperance tunis to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Here is the preview for the match between Espérance de Tunis and AS Marsa.Espérance de Tunis vs. AS Marsa (Tunisian Ligue 1)A clear favorite is found in Espérance de Tunis as they prepare to host AS Marsa at the Hammadi Agrebi Stadium.
Top spot in the league is currently held by the home side, who have collected 50 points so far this season. A very high standard of play has been maintained by Espérance, with four wins earned in their last five matches, including a convincing 3-0 victory over Olympique Béja.
Their defense has been nearly impossible to break down, as only seven goals have been conceded by the team throughout the entire league campaign.A much more difficult path is being walked by AS Marsa, who are positioned in 10th place.
While a few positive results have been picked up recently, such as a 2-0 win against Soliman, an inconsistent run of form is still being dealt with by the visitors. Defensive struggles were highlighted in their last outing, where a heavy 4-0 defeat was suffered against Stade Tunisien.
Looking at the history between these two clubs, total control has been shown by Espérance, who have won 66 of their 109 previous meetings. When the teams met earlier this season, a 3-0 win was comfortably secured by the league leaders. Another dominant performance and a home victory are expected to be recorded in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa?
Our selection is 1 — Esperance Tunis to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Esperance Tunis's current form?
Esperance Tunis have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has AS Marsa been performing recently?
AS Marsa have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Esperance Tunis lead with 4 wins versus AS Marsa's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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