WON Tip WON Gonio 1-0 Loco. Tbilisi
G

Gonio

Home
W W L L L
5W 0D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
L
Loco. Tbilisi
Away
L L L W W
3W 0D 7L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 25th March 2026
1
Backing Gonio to win
Gonio 50%
Draw 30%
Loco. Tbilisi 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 66.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Gonio to win
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Gonio vs Loco. Tbilisi Competition: Georgia Liga 3 Date: Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Gonio to win) Odds: 1.50 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Gonio
2
Draws
0
Loco. Tbilisi
4
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Gonio won 2 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Gonio
Metric
Loco. Tbilisi
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.7
Goals Against / Game
2.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-0-5
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
G0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 3.6%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
G1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 6.3%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
G2
2-0 5.4%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
G3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 5.1%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
G4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.5%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
G5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 3-1(6.4%) 2-0(5.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Gonio Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Loco. Tbilisi Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Gonio
Overall
5.0
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.3
Loco. Tbilisi
Overall
3.0
Scoring
5.0
Defence
0.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.10.25
EL2: FC Gonio2
Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
18.08.25
EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
FC Gonio1
02.05.25
EL2: FC Gonio2
Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
08.03.25
EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
FC Gonio1
Recent Form
Gonio
12.03.26
LI3: Iveria Khashuri0
FC Gonio1
W
05.03.26
LI3: FC Gonio3
Iberia 20101
W
06.12.25
EL2: Bolnisi5
FC Gonio0
L
29.11.25
EL2: FC Gonio0
Rustavi4
L
25.11.25
EL2: Samtredia3
FC Gonio2
L
21.11.25
EL2: FC Gonio4
Merani Martvili0
W
08.11.25
EL2: Meshakhte Tkibuli1
FC Gonio0
L
01.11.25
EL2: FC Gonio2
Iberia 1999 20
W
26.10.25
EL2: FC Gonio1
Dinamo Tbilisi 22
L
21.10.25
EL2: Spaeri1
FC Gonio2
W
Loco. Tbilisi
12.03.26
LI3: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
Iberia 1999 24
L
05.03.26
LI3: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
Guria4
L
15.12.25
EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi0
Dusheti1
L
11.12.25
EL2: Dusheti2
Lokomotivi Tbilisi3
W
06.12.25
EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi5
Dinamo Tbilisi 21
W
29.11.25
EL2: Spaeri2
Lokomotivi Tbilisi3
W
25.11.25
EL2: Iberia 1999 22
Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
L
21.11.25
EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi3
Bolnisi4
L
08.11.25
EL2: Rustavi5
Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
L
03.11.25
EL2: Lokomotivi Tbilisi1
Samtredia0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 25th March 2026, Gonio host Loco. Tbilisi in Georgia Liga 3. We recommend Gonio to win as the standout selection.

Gonio arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Loco. Tbilisi are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Gonio, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Loco. Tbilisi's 0, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: gonio to win at odds of 1.50 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Georgia Liga 3 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.50. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Gonio vs Loco. Tbilisi?
Our selection is 1 — Gonio to win, priced at approximately 1.50. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Gonio's current form?
Gonio have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Loco. Tbilisi been performing recently?
Loco. Tbilisi have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gonio lead with 2 wins versus Loco. Tbilisi's 0, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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