LOST Tip LOST Gottne 1-1 Friska Viljor
G

Gottne

Home
W W L D W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-1
F
Friska Viljor
Away
D W D L D
2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 11th June 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.9% Value detected
Kelly % 19% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Gottne vs Friska Viljor Competition: Sweden D2 Norrland Date: Thursday, 11th June 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 79% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Gottne
1
Draws
4
Friska Viljor
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Gottne
Metric
Friska Viljor
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.7
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
50%
20%
3.9
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
G0
0-0 2.1%
0-1 4.0%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.4%
G1
1-0 4.2%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 4.7%
1-4 2.3%
1-5 0.9%
G2
2-0 4.1%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.6%
2-4 2.2%
2-5 0.8%
G3
3-0 2.6%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.4%
3-5 0.5%
G4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.5%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
G5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(7.9%) 2-1(7.7%) 1-2(7.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Gottne
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
3.0
Friska Viljor
Overall
3.2
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 24%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.05.26DIV
Friska Viljor3
Gottne4
25.06.25DIV
Gottne2
Friska Viljor1
14.05.25DIV
Friska Viljor3
Gottne1
08.10.23DIV
Friska Viljor5
Gottne2
22.06.23DIV
Gottne0
Friska Viljor0
20.07.22DIV
Gottne2
Friska Viljor1
23.06.22DIV
Friska Viljor1
Gottne0
08.09.21DIV
Friska Viljor1
Gottne0
09.06.21DIV
Gottne2
Friska Viljor0
03.10.20DIV
Friska Viljor2
Gottne3
Recent Form
Gottne
30.05.26DIV
IFK Ostersund1
Gottne3
W
23.05.26DIV
Gottne3
Umea FF1
W
17.05.26DIV
Gottne1
Lucksta3
L
14.05.26DIV
Gottne3
IFK Ostersund3
D
03.05.26DIV
Friska Viljor3
Gottne4
W
25.04.26DIV
Fransta2
Gottne1
L
18.04.26DIV
Gottne3
Kubikenborgs2
W
11.04.26DIV
Umea FF1
Gottne3
W
18.10.25DIV
Pitea3
Gottne0
L
11.10.25DIV
Gottne2
Skelleftea2
D
Friska Viljor
06.06.26DIV
IFK Ostersund0
Friska Viljor0
D
02.06.26CUP
Hudiksvall0
Friska Viljor1
W
30.05.26DIV
Friska Viljor3
Lucksta3
D
23.05.26DIV
Friska Viljor1
Kubikenborgs2
L
17.05.26DIV
Friska Viljor1
Umea FF1
D
13.05.26DIV
Lucksta2
Friska Viljor1
L
09.05.26DIV
Friska Viljor1
IFK Ostersund1
D
03.05.26DIV
Friska Viljor3
Gottne4
L
18.04.26DIV
Friska Viljor5
Fransta0
W
12.04.26DIV
Kubikenborgs3
Friska Viljor1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Gottne host Friska Viljor in Sweden D2 Norrland. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Gottne arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Friska Viljor are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Gottne, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Friska Viljor's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Sweden D2 Norrland match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.35. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Gottne vs Friska Viljor?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Gottne's current form?
Gottne have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Friska Viljor been performing recently?
Friska Viljor have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gottne lead with 5 wins versus Friska Viljor's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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