H
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Home
D
D
L
W
L
4W 2D 4L
▼ Declining
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
N/A
M
Maccabi Jaffa
Away
L
L
W
L
L
4W 2D 4L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
79.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+9.6%
Value detected
Kelly %
46.7%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Jaffa
Competition: Israel Leumit League
Date: Monday, 28th September 2026
KO: 5:00 pm
Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals)
Odds: 1.26
Confidence: 89%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2
Draws
4
Maccabi Jaffa
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Metric
Maccabi Jaffa
2.1
Goals For / Game
2.1
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
4.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
H0
0-0
1.7%
0-1
3.7%
0-2
3.8%
0-3
2.7%
0-4
1.4%
0-5
0.6%
H1
1-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
H2
2-0
3.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
7.3%
2-3
5.1%
2-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
H3
3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
4.8%
3-3
3.3%
3-4
1.7%
3-5
0.7%
H4
4-0
1.1%
4-1
2.2%
4-2
2.3%
4-3
1.6%
4-4
0.9%
4-5
0.4%
H5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.9%
5-2
0.9%
5-3
0.6%
5-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-2(7.5%)
2-2(7.3%)
1-1(7.1%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
H=Home goals ↓ M=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Home Win & BTTS No
12%
Draw & BTTS Yes
14%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
30%
Home Win & Under 2.5
10%
Draw & Over 2.5
15%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
30%
Away Win & Under 2.5
10%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1
Maccabi Jaffa4
Maccabi Jaffa1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem2
Maccabi Jaffa2
Maccabi Jaffa3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem4
Maccabi Jaffa1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
Maccabi Jaffa3
Maccabi Jaffa0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem4
Hapoel Kfar Shalem3
Maccabi Jaffa0
Maccabi Jaffa1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1
Maccabi Jaffa1
Recent Form
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Hapoel Afula3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem3
M. Nazareth3
SC Ashdod4
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem3
Kiryat Yam2
Bnei Yehuda3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem2
MS Kafr Qasim0
H. Ironi Rishon2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem6
Hapoel Kfar Shalem2
Kiryat Yam1
Hap. Ramat Gan2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
Bnei Yehuda1
Maccabi Jaffa
Maccabi Jaffa0
Maccabi Bnei Raina2
Maccabi Jaffa1
H. Raanana3
Hapoel Afula0
Maccabi Jaffa1
Maccabi Jaffa1
M. Nazareth2
SC Ashdod1
Maccabi Jaffa0
Maccabi Jaffa2
Kiryat Yam6
Hapoel Kfar Saba2
Maccabi Jaffa2
Maccabi Jaffa6
Hapoel Hadera1
Maccabi Jaffa4
Hapoel Afula1
MS Kafr Qasim2
Maccabi Jaffa2
Match Analysis
Writeup
Let me be honest with you about how this Israel Leumit League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.26, sitting at roughly close to 92 in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Jaffa?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 89%.
What is Hapoel Kfar Shalem's current form?
Hapoel Kfar Shalem have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Maccabi Jaffa been performing recently?
Maccabi Jaffa have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hapoel Kfar Shalem lead with 4 wins versus Maccabi Jaffa's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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